For week 11, the BCS top four — Oregon, Auburn, TCU and Boise State — remained unchanged, but the big story from the weekend was the performances of the two non-AQ schools.
Just one week ago, TCU jumped Boise State after an impressive 47-7 win over then No. 5 Utah. Fast forward seven days and it’s an entirely different story.
Yes, TCU overcame a 14-point deficit to beat San Diego State, but that was the problem. It’s hard to believe a win would count for so little, but the Horned Frogs suffered their closest win this season, 40-35, over the Aztecs. Additionally, TCU’s best win this season, Utah, got waxed by Notre Dame 28-3. Whether it’s fair or not, that, without a doubt, had an effect on TCU’s BCS stock.
On the other hand, Boise’s campaign for a potential national championship keeps gaining momentum as the Broncos, and Virginia Tech, keep on winning. A dominating 52-14 win over Idaho was complimented by a 26-10 Virginia Tech victory over North Carolina. As long as Virginia Tech still plays like the best team in the ACC, Boise’s resume keeps getting stronger.
If either Auburn or Oregon slips up in the next few weeks, the BCS national championship could be Boise State’s to lose. This late in the season, it’s hard to think of many one-loss teams who could (and should) jump over either non-AQ school. Of course, this also means Boise State and TCU will have to continue to be perfect.
Maybe even better.
| Rank | Team | BCS Avg. | Harris | % | Coach | % | AH | RB | CM | KM | JS | PW | % |
| 1. | Oregon | .9753 | 1 | .9782 | 1 | .9878 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | .960 |
| 2. | Auburn | .9687 | 2 | .9589 | 2 | .9471 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.000 |
| 3. | TCU | .8966 | 4 | .9063 | 4 | .8936 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | .890 |
| 4. | Boise St. | .8634 | 3 | .9091 | 3 | .9010 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 8 | .780 |
| 5. | LSU | .8243 | 6 | .7863 | 6 | .7966 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | .890 |
| 6. | Stanford | .7553 | 8 | .7432 | 8 | .7227 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 5 | .800 |
| 7. | Wisconsin | .7258 | 5 | .7958 | 5 | .8115 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | .570 |
| 8. | Nebraska | .7203 | 9 | .6916 | 9 | .7193 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 6 | .750 |
| 9. | Ohio St. | .6674 | 7 | .7516 | 7 | .7505 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 13 | .500 |
| 10. | Okla. St. | .6601 | 12 | .5814 | 10 | .6190 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | .780 |
| 11. | Alabama | .6151 | 11 | .5940 | 12 | .5614 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 10 | .690 |
| 12. | Mich. St. | .6066 | 10 | .6151 | 11 | .6047 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 9 | .600 |
| 13. | Arkansas | .5133 | 13 | .5347 | 13 | .5051 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 12 | .500 |
| 14. | Oklahoma | .4728 | 14 | .4653 | 14 | .4631 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | .490 |
| 15. | Missouri | .4563 | 16 | .3937 | 16 | .3953 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 14 | .580 |
You can also view all the latest polls here.
Many of the reasons for Boise dropping two positions last week are not even mentioned when Oregon narrowly defeats unranked California and Auburn had a tough win against unranked Georgia.
Anyone who follows college football knows how good Boise State is, but how about a little literary love for UT. Given their poor start this year with a team full of freshmen, they scored over 100 points in their last two wins…a major feat for any team, regardless of the opponents. I’m just tired of reading (here) about only the big guns…and if I have that opinion, I’ll bet others have it as well. Thanks for listening.
I think BOISE is a great team, fun to watch and, if they run the table, should be in the BcS Championship game.
That being said, it is going to take more then just an Auburn or Oregon “slip up”.
The BcS will do EVERYTHING in their power to justify NOT putting BOISE (or TCU) in the championship.
Even if Auburn was to lose one it’s remaining regular season games, a win in the SEC Championship will (I believe) be enough to have them in the Championship game. I also believe that if Auburn loses a regular season game and the SEC championship, you may hear a lot of LSU going to Championship game (as long as they do not lose another game).
I think Oregon can lose one of it’s last 2 and still get in, just because the BcS will not want to send BOISE or TCU.
Fiesta, Rose, Orange bowl …yes National Championship…NO
Final tally for the week:
Bowl Eligible: 54
Eliminated: 27
Undecided: 39
Can’t believe the voters haven’t learned their lesson over the last 2 weeks and still have TCU and Boise St. in the Top 4 – they’re barely Top 25 teams as far as I can see.
Ok, this week is going to make the bowl picture very interesting. There are no match ups where the winner is guaranteed a spot but there are two match ups where the loser is guaranteed to be out of the bowls, so at worst, there will be 54 bowl eligible teams and 29 eliminated by the end of the week, which will make the next week a mad scramble, if this week ends that way. Here are the match ups that can result in bowl eligibility or elimination (* means that this team is the one that is effected by the win or loss):
Bowl Eligible:
Pittsburgh* vs South Florida
West Virginia vs Louisville*
Virginia vs Boston College*
Troy* vs South Carolina
Duke vs Georgia Tech*
Clemson* vs Wake Forest
Marshall vs SMU*
Weber State vs Texas Tech*
Stanford vs California*
Illinois* vs Northwestern
New Mexico vs BYU*
Army vs Notre Dame*
Connecticut* vs Syracuse
Florida International* vs Louisiana-Lafayette
Houston* vs Southern Mississippi
* Eliminated:
UCLA vs Washington*
Purdue* vs Michigan State
Penn State vs Indiana*
Virginia* vs Boston College
Kansas State vs Colorado*
Marshall* vs SMU
Mississippi* vs LSU
Florida Atlantic vs Texas*
Arkansas* State vs Navy
North Texas vs Louisiana-Monroe*
UCF vs Tulane*
Middle Tennessee* vs Western Kentucky
Tennessee* vs Vanderbilt
Rutgers vs Cincinnati*
Loser Eliminated:
Eastern Michigan vs Buffalo
Idaho vs Utah State
One thing: why is it that people are getting pissy over TCU’s close win to San Diego State, a team that was 7-2 with 2 losses by 3 points while there’s no mention about the fact that the Ducks should have lost to a 5-4 Cal team that was savaged by USC, Oregon State and more importantly, Nevada?
edgy-
People have mentioned it. You just choose to ignore it since it can’t help your arguments.
Really, frank – too bad that I don’t see it here. Where are these mythical conversations?
I didn’t realize that this is the only place where football is talked about. Maybe it’s in the same place here where I was touting Nevada.
Idaho, now there is a real football team. To bad they don’t play Indiana. Better yet, to bad they don’t play against the top five high schools in the U.S.A.
mrcowpatty says:
Nov 15, 2010 1:05 PM
Idaho, now there is a real football team. To bad they don’t play Indiana. Better yet, to bad they don’t play against the top five high schools in the U.S.A.
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They should play high school teams. That way they can go undefeated and get ranked in the Top 5, and then wait for teams with tougher schedules to get picked off.
frank, just exactly who should I address when discussing college football on CFT, ESPN? Here, I’m taking HERE, any where, here on CFT.
Frank seems a bit high maintenance.
Also edgy, I like your lbowl eligible updates, thanks for those.
Ok. So where is it on here that “people are getting pissy” about TCU’s close win over San Diego State?
Frank, by HERE, I mean CFT.
Right. I didn’t see anyone getting pissy about it here on CFT.
I see Kercheval’s reference to it, but it’s hardly pissy, and I don’t see anyone else commenting about it, even on other threads.
Edgy-
Did you find anything yet?