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CFT predicts: WAC standings

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As we look ahead to the 2011 college football season, we take with us the lessons we learned from seasons past. We calculate, scrutinize, dissect and digest schedules, returning starters, coaching changes, injuries, and yes, even hunches, and spew it back in the form of how we think each of the 11 Division 1 FBS conferences — and independents — will pan out by year’s end.

Of course, these are merely our opinions. Feel free, as we know you will, to disagree. We know that’s why you really come here anyway.

Here are our predictions for the Western Athletic:

Ben’s take
The Western Athletic Conference takes a huge hit this year with the loss of Boise State to the Mountain West, and the future of the WAC as we know it to be could very well be in jeopardy after next season when Hawaii, Fresno State and Nevada also bolt for the same destination. Commissioner Karl Benson, in an effort to keep his conference from imploding, went out and did what Pac-12 commissioner Larry Scott could not: get not one, but two programs from Texas.

FCS programs, that is — Texas State and UT-San Antonio. Both will join the conference in 2012. It was a nice consolation prize after getting snubbed by North Texas, which is currently working on a 24/7 TV network with PBS.

Getting to some actual rankings, the WAC’s soon-to-be deserters will finish their final year strong. Hawaii and Fresno State will battle it out for conference supremacy now that the Broncos are gone, and Nevada should still be competitive under long-time coach Chris Ault despite the loss of several key playmakers, most notably quarterback Colin Kaepernick.

Beyond that, it’s anyone’s guess how the rest of the conference will play out. Sonny Dykes and Gary Anderson are doing nice jobs at Louisiana Tech and Utah State, respectively, but they’re a few years (and a few team departures) away from having any impact at the top of the standings.

And I’m sure New Mexico State and San Jose State are just foaming at the mouth to take their bottom-feeder aggression out on UTSA and Texas State next year.

John Taylor’s take
Wait, the WAC is still alive? Yeah, I’m just as surprised as you. But, after a year of upheaval, the on-life-support conference will indeed play another season of college football. And, for the first time in a very long time, there will be a handful of schools with a realistic opportunity possibility of claiming a conference crown at the end of the regular season road.

There are three teams — maybe four — that will likely become serious contenders for the top spot in the conference and, oddly enough, the trio are the same schools that are fleeing for the 2012 season. Hawaii is the only one of the three to return its 2010 starting quarterback (Bryant Moniz), giving the Warriors an advantage at the key position. Not only will Nevada have to replace Kaepernick, but star running back Vai Taua; those two combined to average more than 400 yards of total offense, a total that will be nearly impossible to replace, not to mention the leadership hole left by the duo’s departure.

Fresno State could be the biggest threat to the title dreams of both schools, given the defense it returns as well as a very stout running game somewhat mitigating the inexperience under center.

Louisiana Tech could very well be a dark horse, although it may be a year away when the deck’s cleared of the four power WAC schools.

More predictions: ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Big 12, C-USA, MAC, MWC, Pac-12, SEC, Sun Belt, Independents

CFT’s preseason Top 25

Report: NCAA finds 13 violations against Ole Miss football, nine under Hugh Freeze

BATON ROUGE, LA - OCTOBER 25:  Head coach Hugh Freeze of the Mississippi Rebels reacts to a call during the game against the LSU Tigers at Tiger Stadium on October 25, 2014 in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.  (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)
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When word first broke of NCAA violations against Ole Miss, word from the Rebels’ football program was one of caution, for it was uncertain how many were targeted against football versus women’s basketball and track and field.

It appears we now know.

On Tuesday evening, the Associated Press reported the NCAA levied 13 allegations out of a possible 28 against the Ole Miss football team, nine of which occurred under the watch of head coach Hugh Freeze. However, it appears the most serious violations were either already know or took place during the Houston Nutt regime.

Included in the allegations are Laremy Tunsil‘s improper benefits, for which the left tackle already sat seven games. Also included are accusations former Nutt assistant David Saunders participated in a scheme to produce fraudulent test scores for recruits — the same allegations currently levied against Louisiana-Lafayette.

The remaining allegations, as detailed by the AP, include run-of-the-mill violations such as having the wrong people provide transportation on recruiting visits or assistant coaches making improper contact with recruits, many of which Ole Miss has already self-reported.

Half of all FBS signees lived between Texas and North Carolina

ORLANDO, FL - DECEMBER 29: Johnny Jefferson #5 of the Baylor Bears carries while defended by Dominquie Green #26 and Des Lawrence #2 of the North Carolina Tar Heels during the first half of the Russell Athletic Bowl game at Orlando Citrus Bowl on December 29, 2015 in Orlando, Florida.  (Photo by Rob Foldy/Getty Images)
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ESPN recruiting analyst Gerry Hamilton provided a massive public service through his Twitter account on Tuesday, releasing a data dump of fascinating information about the signing class of 2016.

In short, Texas was the most popular breeding ground for FBS prospects, but half of all signees came from a clean sweep from Texas, across the Gulf of Mexico to Florida and up to North Carolina.

The Lone Star State produced 359 players, with nearly half of those heading to Power 5 institutions. In fact, Hamilton reports, 72 of 128 FBS programs and 38 of 64 Power 5’s signed at least one player from Texas.

Florida trailed with 327 players, followed by California with 248 players and Georgia with 225. For what it’s worth, Ohio was not included in the study.

Data dump, begin!

AAC releases 2016 conference schedule

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The American Athletic Conference released its 2016 conference schedule highlighted by, oddly enough, non-conference games that pit league gem Houston against Oklahoma (on opening day at Houston’s NRG Stadium) and Louisville (in Houston on Nov. 19).

Those two games, more than any others, will sink or swim the conference’s chances of not only grabbing the Group of Five spot in the New Year’s Six, but a spot in the College Football Playoff itself.

The 2016 conference slate kicks off with Navy meeting Connecticut on Sept. 10 and concludes with the second annual AAC title game on Dec. 3 at a to-be-determined campus site.

The AAC led the way in scheduling Power 5 opponents — highlighted by a Week 3 schedule that will see the entire East Division punching up a weight class — and includes the likes of Florida State, Maryland, N.C. State, Virginia, Syracuse, Kansas, TCU and Oklahoma (for all intents and purposes) visiting AAC campuses.

View the full AAC slate here:

 

Former Notre Dame QB Tommy Rees hired as Chargers offensive assistant

SOUTH BEND, IN - NOVEMBER 02: Tommy Rees #11 of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish passes against the Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Stadium on November 2, 2013 in South Bend, Indiana. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
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Just like we all thought when watching him play at Notre Dame, Tommy Rees will be in the NFL in 2016. Just not as a quarterback.

The San Diego Chargers announced his hiring as an obnoxiously vague offensive assistant, assisting with the club’s offense in some form that they aren’t inclined to elaborate on.

After completing a career in which he threw for 7,670 yards with 61 touchdowns against 37 interceptions from 2010-13, Rees was cut by the Washington Redskins in 2014, then spent the 2014-15 seasons as a graduate assistant at Northwestern.