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Predictions 101 — Week 14

The Swami AP

Even if we drop every game here in “championship week” — and we might — it’ll still be a winning campaign. Every season starts with the goal to not get fired. Once again, here at the end, we’ve earned a contract extension.

Week 13 didn’t bring any bad luck, but it didn’t bring good luck either. We went 5-5 vs. “the number” and 6-4 straight-up.

After 154 games, we’re 86-62-3 (three games weren’t on the board) and 116-38 straight. Twenty-four units to the good ain’t too shabby. Let’s see how close we can get to 34 units up.

TOP 10 GAMES (Thurs., Dec. 1 thru Sat., Dec. 3)

1) No. 12 Georgia vs. No. 1 LSU in SEC title game at Atlanta
Sat., Dec. 3 — 4 p.m. ET, CBS

You can’t blame the Bulldogs for feeling disrespected. After posting a 31-17 victory at Georgia Tech last week to push its winning streak to 10 games, Georgia (10-2, 7-1 in SEC) dropped a spot in the BCS Standings to 14th.

Adding to the feeling of invisibility in Athens is this prevailing belief among the pundits that even if the Eastern Dawgs defeat the Western Tigers, top-ranked LSU (12-0, 8-0) will still qualify to the play for the BCS title.

Georgia’s plan is to show up and fight for that trip to the Sugar Bowl. Whether the Bulldogs are able to stand up to LSU’s relentless assault in all three phases of the game is another matter entirely.

While the Tigers have a defense with more potential and punch than the Indianapolis Colts, Georgia can present the appearance of stout unit statistically (10th in scoring defense, sixth in rushing defense, fifth in total defense and fourth in passing efficiency defense). However, those stats are largely built at the expense of the SEC’s also-rans, Coastal Carolina and New Mexico State.

Although 10 wins separate the Dawgs from the back-to-back losses that opened the season, we have to revisit those performances against Boise State and South Carolina because the Broncos and Gamecocks offer the best comparisons to the challenges presented by LSU’s offense.

After seeing how Arkansas’ passing attack got locked up by the Tiger secondary last week, it doesn’t seem likely that Bulldog quarterback Aaron Murray will be able to get things going versus the “Honey Badger” and his friends. Pass protection and ground support won’t be there either.

Opening point spread: LSU by 10

The pick: LSU 29-10

Final: LSU 42-10

2) No. 15 Wisconsin vs. No. 11 Michigan State in Big Ten title game at Indianapolis
Sat., Dec. 3 — 8:17 p.m. ET, FOX

Throw that “Hail Mary” out the window and let’s consider this the overtime session that never started.

The Badgers certainly would be in favor of that, but then again they wouldn’t be able to play up the revenge angle.

We never really put much credence into that sort of thing. That’s good for talking up the game during the week and fans eat revenge up, but when the pads start cracking after the opening kickoff, all of that melts away.

Wisconsin (10-2, 6-2 in Big Ten) and Michigan State (10-2, 7-1) own the two best scoring defenses in the Big Ten, but each team was able to generate 31 points against one another before that last-second heave. More specifically, we’d like to point out that the Badgers seemed to be able to generate offense when they needed to in that last meeting, opening up a 14-0 lead early and coming back from a 31-17 deficit late.

While Russell Wilson and Montee Ball get the glory for that sort of production, it’s the excellent offensive line that makes it possible.

In addition, we have to question the Spartans’ effectiveness away from East Lansing. They surrendered 31 points in a loss at Notre Dame, scored only 10 at Ohio State and got dumped 24-3 at Nebraska. Even November victories at Iowa and Northwestern weren’t overwhelming.

Opening point spread: Wisconsin by 10

The pick: Wisconsin 31-24

Final: Wisconsin 42-39

3) No. 13 Oklahoma at No. 3 Oklahoma State
Sat., Dec. 3 — 8 p.m. ET, ABC

We could go on and on about the leaky Sooner secondary. Or discuss the injuries to key offensive personel — wideout Ryan Broyles (knee), tailback Dominique Whaley (ankle), etc. But the fact of the matter is this: the Sooners have a heavy habit of coming out on top in Bedlam and playing in premier bowls.

Oklahoma State (10-1, 7-1) has never won an outright Big 12 (or Big Eight) title or participated in the BCS. To do so this year, the Cowboys will have to beat Oklahoma (9-2, 6-2) for the first time since 2002.

This will be a shootout and as is always the case, maximizing possessions and staying away from turnovers will be the key. That gives the Cowboys a leg up as only top-ranked LSU owns a better turnover margin than they do.

In last season’s meeting, Sooner quarterback Landry Jones helped out the OSU cause by throwing three interceptions, but he also completed 37 passes to his teammates for 468 yards and four touchdowns, fueling a 47-41 victory, which also was in Stillwater.

This will be a similar shootout.

The underdog Sooners can snatch a share of the Big 12 title and, more importantly, a BCS berth with a win. The Cowboys, on the other hand, have to deal with the heavy pressure of not screwing up their big chance. Even a shot at the national championship is a possibility. It’s too much to think about and too much to handle.

Opening point spread: Oklahoma State by 3

The pick: Oklahoma 38-35

Final: Oklahoma State 44-10

4) No. 5 Virginia Tech vs. No. 21 Clemson in ACC title game at Charlotte, N.C.
Sat., Dec. 3 — 8 p.m. ET, ESPN

Perhaps the Tigers should be credited with getting the Hokies in gear.

On Oct. 1, Clemson (9-3, 6-2 in ACC) barged into Blacksburg and rolled out with a dominating 23-3 victory, holding Virginia Tech (11-1, 7-1) without a touchdown at home for the first time since 1984.

After that game, the Hokies have been a different team, winning seven in row to earn this shot at their fourth league title within the past five seasons.

Massive 6-foot-6 quarterback Logan Thomas has led the revival. He threw for just 125 yards in the loss to Clemson, but has since accounted for 23 touchdowns (14 through the air and nine on the ground) during the seven-game winning streak.

The Tigers have been in a free-fall during the past month. Not only have they lost three of their last four games, the lone victory was a slim 31-28 decision over Wake Forest at home. That’s a far cry from the 8-0 start that had the nation talking.

Dabo Swinney’s young team — 29 freshmen have seen action this year — ran out of gas weeks ago. We don’t have much reason to believe that they’ll be able to recapture the midseason magic.

Opening point spread: Virginia Tech by 6 1/2

The pick: Virginia Tech 31-17

Final: Clemson 38-10

5) Texas at No. 19 Baylor
Sat., Dec. 3 — 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

This prediction comes courtesy of Marc Doche (@MDoche) from the ever dependable P101 satellite office in Burbank, Calif.

Despite getting sidelined for the second half of the Bears’ 66-42 victory over Texas Tech last week, Robert Griffin III kept his Heisman candidacy alive by finding the end zone three times in the first 30 minutes, bringing his season TD total to 41.

In what could be the penultimate game of his collegiate career, the redshirt junior is one of four players in FBS history with more than 9,000 passing yards and 2,000 rushing.

Texas (7-4, 4-4 in Big 12) got some extra time to shake any possible Thanksgiving Day hangover from defeating Texas A&M, 27-25, on a 40-yard field goal as time expired. But, sophomore quarterback Case McCoy (just 135 total yards last week) has so far done little to replicate the accomplishments of older brother Colt, so it’s difficult to envision the Longhorn offense keeping up with Baylor (8-3, 5-3), which is the nation’s only team averaging more than 300 yards through the air and 200 on the ground.

Respect must be given to a Texas defense that ranks ninth in the nation, allowing 298 yards per game, but they’ll be hard-pressed to hold down RG3 and an explosive Bear attack complemented by running back Terrance Ganaway and wide receiver Kendall Wright.

Baylor came into Austin on a three-game losing streak last year before defeating Texas for the first time in 13 tries. Riding a four-game winning streak into this contest, the Bears can get over the hump against their in-state foe in Waco for the first time since 1997.

Opening point spread: Baylor by 2

The pick: Baylor 34-24

Final: Baylor 48-24

6) Connecticut at Cincinnati
Sat., Dec. 3 — Noon ET, ESPN

The Huskies’ biggest fans are in Louisville this week. A Connecticut upset would send the 7-5 Cardinals to the BCS.

Cincinnati (8-3, 4-2 in Big East) could grab that golden ticket with a win if Thursday night features South Florida eliminating West Virginia (see below) from this ridiculous race for an undeserved spot in the BCS.

In theory, Connecticut (5-6, 3-3) benefits from the fact that Bearcat quarterback Zach Collaros is out with an injured ankle, but then again, it was Collaros who threw four interceptions to gift-wrap a 38-17 victory for the Huskies last year at Rentschler Field.

UConn certainly has been in a greedy mood as of late, coming up with six takeaways in last Saturday’s 40-22 victory over Rutgers. That puts a lot of pressure on backup quarterback Munchie Legaux, who is just a sophomore, and senior running back Isaiah Pead, who will have to carry much of the load.

Opening point spread: Cincinnati by 8 1/2

The pick: Cincinnati 27-26

Final: Cincinnati 35-27

7) No. 22 West Virginia at South Florida
Thurs., Dec. 1 — 8 p.m. ET, ESPN

How do you think B.J. Daniels felt while watching footage of West Virginia’s 21-20 victory over Pitt last week? The Mountaineers’ 10 quarterback sacks must have sparked some concern within the USF signalcaller who sat out last week’s game with an injured shoulder.

When West Virginia (8-3, 4-2 in Big East) really needed to make defensive plays, like during the Panthers’ final drive, it came up big, dropping Pitt QB Tino Sunseri four times.

However, South Florida (5-6, 1-5), which needs a win to become bowl eligible for the seventh consecutive year, might be the one putting the most pressure on the passer in this matchup.

The Mountaineers have just a shred of a running game and leave most of the heavy lifting to capable quarterback Geno Smith. That might not work out so well against a defense that’s averaging 3.6 sacks per game and can pin its ears back even more.

Opening point spread: Even

The pick: South Florida 26-24

Final: West Virginia 30-27

8) Ohio vs. Northern Illinois in MAC title game at Detroit
Fri., Dec. 2 — 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2

Both the Bobcats and Huskies are in high gear as they approach Detroit.

Ohio (9-3, 6-2 in MAC) has won its last five games after experiencing a mid-season slump. Northern Illinois (9-3, 7-1) is even hotter, having taken its last seven, following a 48-41 loss at Central Michigan to open league play on Oct. 1.

Each team has been receiving quality quarterbacking and can score. The difference between the two is apparent on the other side of the football.

The Huskie defense, which ranks 91st in total yards allowed and 94th in points allowed, has been particularly porous outside of DeKalb, surrendering nearly 40 points per game (60 at Toledo on Nov. 1). That doesn’t matchup well with a balanced Bobcat attack that averages 212 yards on the ground and 252 through the air.

Opening point spread: Northern Illinois by 4 1/2

The pick: Ohio 37-31

Final: Northern Illinois 23-20

9) No. 24 Southern Miss at No. 7 Houston in C-USA title game
Sat., Dec. 3 — Noon ET, ABC

While the Cougar offense and gunslinger Case Keenum have garnered all the attention this season, we were most impressed with the team’s defense in last week’s dominating 48-16 victory at Tulsa.

Houston (12-0, 8-0 in C-USA) hasn’t allowed more than 17 points in its last four games. That’s deadly in combination with an offensive attack that averages nearly 53 points per game.

Southern Miss (10-2, 6-2) has won four of its six road games this season, but both of those losses were to teams without winning records (Marshall and UAB). That seems to suggest that the Golden Eagles won’t have nearly enough focus to stay with the rampaging Cougars.

Being within arms reach of a BCS berth adds a great deal of pressure to Houston. And UCLA’s interest in head coach Kevin Sumlin provides some unwanted distractions. But we’re going to ride with the Cougars … until January.

Opening point spread: Houston by 13

The pick: Houston 52-34

Final: Southern Miss 49-28

10) UCLA at No. 8 Oregon in Pac-12 title game
Fri., Dec. 2 — 8 p.m. ET, FOX

This prediction comes courtesy of Shane Hedani from the P101 satellite office in Maunawili, Hawai‘i. Much like Chip Kelly, he’s taken on much tougher assignments this season. Blame Reggie Bush’s parents for this absolute dud of a “championship” game.

Rick Neuheisel would love nothing better than to send his Bruins to the Rose Bowl. (Notice we said “send,” not “take,” as the already fired coach won’t be allowed to stick around for that one if something on par with Chaminade over Virginia happens to occur.)

Expect UCLA (6-6, 5-4 in Pac-12) to come out with its pistol playbook wide open, hoping to catch Oregon (10-2, 8-1) off guard.

The Bruins, who didn’t get any last week at USC, will score a few points early. The Ducks will counter with an avalanche of touchdowns to put UCLA out of its misery and send Rick off rudely.

Oregon hosted UCLA last year and easily covered a similarly massive number with a 60-13 victory.

Opening point spread: Oregon by 29 1/2

The pick: Oregon 56-20

Final: Oregon 49-31

Week 14 record: 5-5
Total: 121-43

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20 Responses to “Predictions 101 — Week 14”
  1. wvuandsteelers says: Nov 30, 2011 3:15 PM

    Keep picking against the ‘Eers and we’ll keep winning.

  2. alligatorsnapper says: Nov 30, 2011 3:20 PM

    Despite talking heads and mouths on ESPN and SEC radio promoting UGA and doing the same thing they did leading up to the Alabama and Arkansas games, LSU will prevail. As the game progresses, LSU will begin to dominate in all three phases of the game.

    This SEC championship game gives both LSU and Georgia a chance to meet, where they don’t play every year. But it also is a great risk at injury prior to the National Championship game. We hope no players on either Georgia or LSU become injured with any serious injury during this game.

    Wish I was able to take the trip to Atlanta. A few more tickets remain available for those interested.

  3. cosanostra71 says: Nov 30, 2011 3:37 PM

    I’m going to commit the ultimate USC sin and be rooting for UCLA this weekend, although I’ll be absolutely shocked if they keep it within even just 3 TDs.

  4. Deb says: Nov 30, 2011 3:41 PM

    After suffering two losses, I think most Georgia fans expect to be the underdogs against the undefeated national #1. Have to eat my words about Mark Richt. Did not expect him to pull his season together. I just wish the young Bulldogs had played against Boise the way they have against other opponents the last few weeks.

  5. thefiesty1 says: Nov 30, 2011 4:04 PM

    Why do you keep picking against WV? Do you really want one of the other no-nods to get an automatic BcS game that nobody wants to see?

    If everyone is healthy on Texas’ squad, you may be surprised. Remember, they had over 400 yards in two consecutive games when everyone was able to play. And with a few sacks by the UT defense and RG3 may not be as effective as he has been before getting knocked out of last weeks game.

  6. superfbfan says: Nov 30, 2011 4:07 PM

    UGA’s defense will hold their own. Very similar defense to Alabama…very big and very fast. Great at all three levels. Huge run stopping nose tackles, big athletic linebackers, and a sound secondary. But UGA has such an inconsistent running attack…LSU will make them one dimensional and eat Murray up. My heart says the Dawgs have a shot but my mind says 24-10 LSU.

  7. wustlumdnj says: Nov 30, 2011 4:38 PM

    If Georgia beats LSU is the title game LSU – OSU (as there would not be a third spot for alabama in the BCS)?

  8. Deb says: Nov 30, 2011 5:46 PM

    @wustlumdnj …

    Georgia beating LSU in the SEC Championship wouldn’t cause Alabama to drop in the rankings. That wouldn’t be a stain on Alabama’s record. If Georgia routed LSU (and while anything is possible, I really, really don’t believe that will happen), LSU could drop, moving Alabama to the top spot. But the only thing that might cause Alabama to move out of the top two would be a huge win over Oklahoma by Oklahoma State. In that event, the Cowboys might jump Alabama and take the #2 spot despite their earlier loss to an unranked team.

  9. Dirty D Fo says: Nov 30, 2011 6:06 PM

    Glory, glory to ol’ Georgia … UPSET IN THE MAKING! Go Dawgs, sic’ em’!

  10. phillyb6 says: Nov 30, 2011 9:17 PM

    Deb I think the guy was speaking to the fact that no conference is allowed 3 teams in the BcS and he’s assuming LSU is in no matter what… Right?

  11. Deb says: Nov 30, 2011 10:47 PM

    @phillyb6 …

    I’m not as well-versed in all the lil BCS rules as others, but someone explained the other day that there’s a loophole with that two-teams/conference issue. As always, #1 plays #2, even if those teams happen to be from the same conference with a previous meeting under their belts. If Georgia were to pull off a win, they would play in the Sugar Bowl as the SEC Champ.

  12. dirksimmons says: Nov 30, 2011 11:05 PM

    Michigan State beat Iowa and Northwestern by 2 touchdowns on the road. To me, that means they won pretty handily. And this stuff about only scoring 10 at Ohio State? MSU still beat them, which is something Wisconsin didn’t do. What overwhelming win did Wisconsin have on the road? They lost to the 2 decent opponents they had on the road (MSU and Ohio State). Dude, do some research before you put garbage out there like that. It’s really tiring. If you want to pick Wisconsin, fine. But do your homework.

  13. florida727 says: Dec 1, 2011 8:54 AM

    Deb says:
    Nov 30, 2011 5:46 PM
    @wustlumdnj …
    Georgia beating LSU… that wouldn’t be a stain on Alabama’s record.

    ——————————————————-

    Sorry, Deb, guess again. It’s called “strength of schedule”. Every loss by any team to any other team is factored into it. The best argument for Alabama going to the national title game is “they lost by only 3 in overtime to the undefeated, consensus #1 team in America”… albeit AT HOME. (Suggestion: leave that last part out of the argument.)

    If LSU loses (which they won’t), and Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma, don’t be surprised if your boys are on the outside looking in. That would be the worst case scenario for Alabama. You NEED Oklahoma and LSU to win to assure your spot in the title game. If OK State wins and LSU losses, you’re out. Those two meet for the title. And you have no valid argument to the contrary… because you lost head-to-head, again, AT HOME.

  14. Deb says: Dec 1, 2011 11:14 AM

    @florida727 …

    I’m not deaf, honey. No need to shout. Yes, teams do lose at home sometimes. I don’t find that the Big Deal you and some others love to make it. Again, I’m sure that’s because I’m a much bigger NFL fan (thank God it’s Thursday) and many things about college ball leave me scratching my head. In the NFL, fans like to brag about whupping someone in their house, but they’re not stupid enough to actually claim it gives a win more weight when it comes to deciding who goes to the playoffs :roll:

    My “argument” from the get-go has been that #1 plays #2. Right now, LSU is #1 and Alabama is #2 because they’ve played a comparable schedule and lost only once, to #1, by a FG in OT. That seems to make a lot of people pissy, but it is what it is.

    If Georgia beats LSU–and any team can be beaten on any given Saturday–the Tigers may or may not drop to #2, depending on the final score. If Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma, the Cowboys may or may not jump to #2, depending on the final score. The only thing we know for sure is that my Tide, as you keep stressing, has no control over its fate this weekend. So I’m not getting bent out of shape over it. All I can do is wait and see what the polls say on Sunday.

  15. florida727 says: Dec 1, 2011 12:59 PM

    The NFL is boring because it’s ridiculously predictable. When they’re on is usually when I catch an afternoon nap. Field goals are virtually automatic because all a kicker needs to do is kick the stupid thing straight. Their overtime process is pathetic. A coin flip determines who wins the game more than 50% of the time (check the stats).

    If they want to improve the game, one simple thing would do it: widen the hash-marks to the college width. Field goals would be more challenging and the extra width to one side would make ‘speed’ an integral part of the game. They also need to adopt the college playoff format, but they never will because of ego… they didn’t think of it first.

    As far as Alabama goes, I hope they get in. I’m an SEC guy. I want another SEC champion (which I’m guessing will happen anyway thanks to LSU). Six straight. But to not think a home loss is more damning than a road loss is simply foolish. Think Under Armour (“we must protect this house”). There’s a lot of truth to that. You forfeit bragging rights for a long time when a foreigner comes to your place and dances on your logo.

  16. florida727 says: Dec 1, 2011 1:06 PM

    Deb says:
    Dec 1, 2011 11:14 AM
    @florida727 …
    In the NFL, fans like to brag about whupping someone in their house, but they’re not stupid enough to actually claim it gives a win more weight when it comes to deciding who goes to the playoffs.

    —————————————–

    Forgot one thing: the ONLY reason a road win doesn’t get more weight in the NFL is because their playoff participants are determined by won/loss record and specific tie-breakers. No computers used. No “human effect”. That’s easy to do when you’re only dealing with 32 teams and a 16-game schedule, not 100+ team and a 12-game schedule as in NCAA D1. THAT is why strength of schedule, who you lose to, where you lose to them at, and by how much, play a role. It’s not that complex really.

  17. Deb says: Dec 1, 2011 3:35 PM

    @florida727 …

    You think the NFL should work on increasing speed like the college kids? LOL You should ask some rookies about the speed of the NFL compared with the speed of the college game. The reason I prefer the NFL is because it’s an infinitely faster, more difficult game.

    Personally, I find it difficult to see how anything could be more exciting than “sudden death.” I’ve always thought the NCAA dudes were smoking crack the day they came up with those OT rules. I think the first year a team actually threw the game just to make it stop. Yeah, the team that wins the coin toss wins the game about 50 percent of the time. That means the team that doesn’t win the coin toss wins about 50 percent of the time. Hmmm … Did you catch the Denver/San Diego OT Sunday night? No, I forgot … you were napping. They both changed possessions several times and Denver won just a few seconds shy of ending in a tie.

    As it happens, the league will be experimenting with new overtime rules beginning in the playoffs this year.

    Yes, playoff berths are determined on wins and losses and objective tiebreakers with no subjectivity involved. Imagine that! LOL That bit about hundreds of teams doesn’t work with me. We don’t have hundreds of comparably matched teams in the NCAA. I don’t believe Div I should consist of hundreds of teams. It should be broken down into very regimented A, B, and C tiers that do no cross. Teams like Boise and Houston should not be in the same conversation with Ohio State, USC, and Arkansas. The whole thing has become ridiculous. You have to have some kind of categorization to avoid chaos.

    Yes, I’ve already acknowledged that winning/losing home and away leads to bragging rights. And if we’d been slaughtered on our home turf, given this goofy subjective NCAA environment, I might concede it had some bearing on our status. But that game was a virtual deadlock decided by a last-second field goal. I don’t think the venue was that big a deal. We’ve had tremendous success against LSU in Death Valley through the years.

    And I’m not remotely worried about playing them in New Orleans for the title, if we’re fortunate enough to have that opportunity–anymore than I’m worried about the Steelers playing the Ravens in Baltimore if we make the playoffs. Make your stand where you are and see what happens. Both my teams travel well.

    Here’s a little sample of what Alabama brought to Auburn last week …

    http://dailybamablog.com/2011/11/26/video-of-rammer-jammer-after-iron-bowl/

  18. txnative61 says: Dec 2, 2011 3:30 AM

    Florida 727–Agree with a lot of your ramble, especially 3 tiered NCAA. Should be flexible though, like European Soccer leagues. Boise earned the right to run with the big dogs by beating Oregon two years in a row, and now Georgia. No way they should get a free pass on the season though, and should have to face Pac12 heavy hitters every week and injurys and losses that come with it. I would put Kentucky and Vanderbilt from the SEC in tier 2, and all of the Big East, lots of the ACC and Big Ten as well. Top 2 of tier 2 should get a shot in Big Dog playoff, and if they win, automatically move up to 1 the next year, and push the losers down. Won’t happen because the powers that be are about keeping their money and monopolies not about being fair or having a level playing field.

  19. gamustangdude says: Dec 2, 2011 7:58 AM

    Florida 727

    I disagree with what you think may happen. Even if OK State wins there’s a very slim chance that they’ll overtake Alabama in the 2nd seat. The reasons for this are the Harris and Coaches poll. Ok State is ranked behind both VT and Stanford and the way the voters have been voting No loss = No Drop in polls. There are two teams that Ok state has to jump who are not playing this week Alabama and Stanford. Ok State could very easily Pass Stanford with a win, if voters break their traditional way of voting, but in order for OK State to jump Alabama they need an overwhelming population of voters to vote Ok State a consensus number 2. Another Team that’s standing in Ok State’s way is VT. If Ok State beats OU they’ll have the argument that they won their conference Title, well if VT wins they also, have that same argument. Plus I personally think that VT has “1-up” on Ok State. If VT wins the ACC Championship they will have avenged the only Loss on their schedule (Clemson). That will leave LSU and VT as the only two AQ teams who can say “they’ve beaten everyone on their schedule.” Ok State can’t avenge the loss they suffered against Iowa State. That’s why I give more consideration to VT than Ok State. Again, the key components here are the voters. There has to be an overwhelming population of voters who vote OK State over VT, Alabama, and Stanford. I think it’s a long shot and especially harder if VT wins. Some voter will Vote 1 LSU 2 Alabama, another set of voter will Vote 1 LSU 2 VT, or 1 LSU 2 Stanford, and 1 LSU 2 Ok State. The question for OK State will there be enough Votes for OK State to pass Alabama? I don’t think there will be with VT, Stanford, and Alabama stealing 2nd place votes.
    @Deb

    You are right there is a clause in the BCS that if the number 1 team and number 2 team in the final BCS didn’t win their conference than the AQ conference champ, in this case would be UGA, will always get the Auto bid. So UGA has to beat LSU, long shot, and Alabama and LSU would still have to be ranked 1/2. All three would play in BCS bowls. That loophole does exists.

  20. 1historian says: Dec 3, 2011 8:35 AM

    One of the fine things about college football is the screaming and yelling that follows the season when some (at least one) team gets shafted out of playing for all the marbles.

    Just commenting

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