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Predictions 101 — Fiesta Bowl

Oklahoma State v Arizona Getty Images

No. 3 Oklahoma State vs. No. 4 Stanford
Jan. 2, 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
At Glendale, Ariz.

Both teams are haunted by what might have been, losing once during the regular season, therefore missing out on a chance at the BCS title.

But the setbacks set up a marquee BCS matchup between Oklahoma State (11-1) and Stanford (11-1), perhaps the one that will be most pleasing to the viewing audience. It’ll certainly be lightyears better than last year’s sleepy pairing of Oklahoma and Connecticut.

The quarterback duel between Cowboy Brandon Weeden and Cardinal Andrew Luck will be something to savor. Luck will have to be at his play-changing best while facing an Oklahoma State defense that deserves much more credit than it gets.

It’s hard to bet against somebody like Luck, who led an impressive 40-12 victory over Virginia Tech in last season’s Orange Bowl and threw 26 touchdowns and zero interceptions in the red zone this year.

But we’ve got to go with somebody and we’ll side with the 28-year-old Weeden, who unlike Luck has a member of his supporting cast that can expertly stretch the field. Cowboy wideout Justin Blackmon is one of the best around and can take advantage of a Cardinal secondary that’s the weak link of a defensive unit that features a formidable front seven.

In addition, we favor OSU running back Joseph Randle over Stanford’s thundering tailback committee led by Stefan Taylor, who rushed for 1,153 yards behind the Cardinal’s rugged offensive line in double and triple-tight end sets.

Oklahoma State’s lone loss (at Iowa State) is much more lamentable than Stanford’s (vs. Oregon), so there is a possibility of a woe-is-me letdown, but the fact that this is their first BCS appearance wipes those fears away. Mike Gundy will have his ‘Boys ready.

Opening point spread: Oklahoma State by 3

The pick: Oklahoma State 37-31

Click HERE to get predictions for the remaining bowl games.

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8 Responses to “Predictions 101 — Fiesta Bowl”
  1. suprmous says: Dec 5, 2011 4:16 AM

    This game is oh so wrong. OS should be playin LSU. LSU beat Bama in their own backyard and there shouldn’t be a rematch period and paragraph.

  2. ugabugkiller says: Dec 5, 2011 8:17 AM

    A “ChokieState defense that deserves much more credit then they get???”

    THEY ARE THE 107TH (OUT OF 120) RANKED DEFENSE!!!

    And yet YOU believe they deserve more credit???

    Seriously people, do y’all REMEMBER the 2004 Title game blowout?

    Just sub LSU for USC and ChokieState for Chokelahoma, and THAT is what was going to happen had the Pokes snuck into the game this year.

    Great defenses completely shut down these gimmick spread offenses. Auburn did Oregon last year, LSU did it to Oregon this year, USC and LSU did it to Chokelahoma in 2004 and 2003… what more do you need?

    Seriously, those who forget their history are DOOMED to repeat it. Some of y’all are DUMB.

  3. goblue714 says: Dec 5, 2011 9:32 AM

    Yea everyone cause what happens in 2004 happens for eternity. Different years different players and coaches and different results.

  4. gopokes0714 says: Dec 5, 2011 11:27 AM

    OSU has chopped down every team that was supposed to be competition. The Stanford Tree wont be any different.

    @ugabugkiller
    Some of us are DUMB? You have made up a completely fake argument from half a decade ago. If you want to play that game I have one for you.

    Back in 2011 LSU came in to Alabama and beat them down on their home field. Alabama gave everything they had and choked 4 times in that game. It was ugly and down right sad that bama fans had to watch it. Bama never stood a chance in that game.

    Now fast forward to the end of the 2011 season. Put that game on a neutral field. At least bama fans will know they are out of the game from the start, and want have their spirit slowly beat out of them.

  5. hawkinsob says: Dec 5, 2011 12:09 PM

    @ugabugkiller

    Like Alabama did to Utah’s spread offense in the the Sugar Bowl?

  6. mrba4775 says: Dec 5, 2011 9:35 PM

    the cowboys of Okstate will demolish the cardinals of Stanford. Luck has no talent around him this year and the Cardinals defense is suspect at best. Luck will not b able to ride off into the sunset with a win.

  7. iplaybad says: Dec 6, 2011 8:29 AM

    I suppose Oklahoma State fails to chop down the teams who aren’t supposed to be competition……..

  8. gettinwestern says: Dec 7, 2011 1:11 AM

    The luck will run out for the Cardinal. They are just way too slow to match up with OSU on both sides of the line. Sorry, I didn’t mean to offend anyone with that but sometimes the truth hurts–just trying to be objective.

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