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CFT Preseason Top 25: No. 20 TCU

1113 sp bsutcu AP

2011 record: 11-2 overall, 7-0 in MWC (1st)

2011 postseason: Poinsettia Bowl (31-24 win over Louisiana Tech)

2011 final AP/coaches’ ranking: No. 14/No. 13

Head coach: Gary Patterson (109-30 overall in 12 seasons at TCU)

Offensive coordinator: Jarrett Anderson (16th season at TCU, fourth as co-OC); Rusty Burns (fourth season at TCU, first as co-OC)

2011 offensive rankings: 19th rushing offense (208.6 ypg); 63rd passing offense (231.6 ypg); 28th total offense (440.2 ypg); 9th scoring offense (40.8 ppg)

Returning offensive starters: six

Defensive coordinator: Dick Bumpas (Ninth season at TCU, ninth as DC)

2011 defensive rankings: 25th rushing defense (123.8 ypg); 60th pass defense (223.6 ypg); 32nd total defense (347.4 ypg); 28th scoring defense (21.5 ppg)

Returning defensive starters: seven

Location: Fort Worth, Texas

Stadium: Amon Carter Stadium (45,000; grass)

Last league title: 2011 (MWC)

Schedule: [view]

Roster: [view]

2011 statistics: [view]

The Good
The starting quarterback returns. So does four of the top five rushers from 2011 as well as the top four in receiving yardage. In other words, an offense that finished in the top 10 in scoring is loaded once again, which is a good thing as the Horned Frogs will be spending its first season in the offensive-leaning Big 12.

The Bad
Inexplicably, a TCU defense that hadn’t finished outside the top 10 in points allowed since 2005 plummeted to 28th in that category in 2011. While TCU returns seven starters from that unit, the Horned Frogs did lose two top linebackers whose departures will make an impact. Heading into the Big 12, the last thing the Horned Frogs need is issues on the defensive side of the ball, although 2011 could very well be considered an aberration given Patterson’s defensive track record at the school. The defense isn’t the only concern, either, as TCU must also replace three starting offensive linemen.

The Unknown
As is the case with West Virginia, Missouri, Texas A&M and others, TCU will be adjusting to a newer — and more rugged — conference home this season. How quickly the Horned Frogs  adapt to their new surroundings will go a long way in determining how much — or how little — success they will have in their inaugural campaign in the Big 12.  As TCU will be moving to its fifth different conference since 1995, we’re guessing that they have this league-swapping down to a science.

Make-or-break game: at Texas, Nov. 22
What better way to enter a new conference than to knock off the state’s bell-cow football program on Thanksgiving Day?  Certainly games against the likes of Oklahoma and Oklahoma State and Texas Tech are important, but putting a Longhorns notch in the belt as TCU attempts to get a foothold in its new league would do wonders for the Horned Frogs.  Especially if TCU can help spoil what’s projected to be a rebound season for the ‘Horns.

Heisman hopeful: quarterback Casey Pachall
Andy who? In his first year as the replacement for Andy Dalton, all Pachall did was throw for nearly 3,000 yards and totaled 27 touchdowns — 25 passing, two rushing — in leading the Horned Frogs to an 11-win season.  Given the amount of skill players that are returning, Pachall should be in line for a statistical improvement in 2012, which should vastly improve the odds of the junior being mentioned on at least the periphery of the Heisman discussion. Provided he can test clean, of course.

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1 Response to “CFT Preseason Top 25: No. 20 TCU”
  1. axltcu says: Aug 8, 2012 4:02 PM

    Many people like to point out that TCU’s schedule is a disadvantage because most of the tougher games are at the end. I think this is actually an advantage for TCU. The Horned Frogs are a team are typically a team that starts out slow and builds up momentum as the season goes on. If their schedule was more front loaded I think they would be more likely to lose those games.

    Their biggest weakness is their secondary. The D-line is solid and the LBs are very underrated, even with the loss of Tanner Brock. The secondary really needs to step it up after a poor 2011.

    I’m not as worried about the O-Line as most. Year after year they have done a spectacular job of replacing the graduated seniors. I don’t see why this year should be any different.

    I would say the real Make-or-Break game is Nov. 3rd @ West Virginia. If the Frogs can pull out a win there I would be more confident that they could carry on that momentum and finish the season strong against Texas and Oklahoma.

    I’m going to be watching Stansly Maponga closely this season. Expectaions for him are very high and they are going to need him to anchor that defense and put a lot of pressure on opposing QBS to help out the secondary.

    They have the potential to run the table, with a little luck, but realistically I see them as a 10-2 team this season.

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