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Predictions 101 — Alamo Bowl

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No. 15 Oregon State vs. Texas
Sat., Dec. 29 — 6:45 p.m. ET, ESPN
San Antonio — Alamodome

Postseason games often come down to who truly wants to be playing football during the holidays and who doesn’t. Normally, this doesn’t show itself until the pads start cracking, but sometimes you can spot it on the day the invitations are issued.

We’ve got that situation here as Texas (8-4) will take an 80-mile bus ride down I-35 to face Oregon State (9-3), which has next to no national sizzle.

The Beavers, on the other hand, were 3-9 last year and are overjoyed to be going anywhere after a two-year postseason drought. That they get to go into the heart of Texas and play the Longhorns in an us-against-the-world environment has got to be exhilarating.

It’s extremely improbable that up-and-down Texas will end up riding the right wave. Avoiding a second consecutive five-loss season isn’t much of a motivating factor.

We’re not quite as positive about who’ll win the marquee matchup between Beaver wideouts Markus Wheaton and Brandin Cooks and the talented Longhorn secondary, but we do envision a stalemate to be better than what the uncertain Texas offense will be able to generate versus a Beaver defense that is allowing less than 20 points per game.

Opening point spread: Oregon State by 1

The pick: Oregon State 27-21

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5 Responses to “Predictions 101 — Alamo Bowl”
  1. alligatorsnapper says: Dec 5, 2012 2:19 PM

    Many colleagues at work are Texans, either pulling for A&M or Texas and in this case I will pull for Texas as well. Maybe, somehow, Coach Brown will actually coach, or allow his assistants to coach?, and win this game. Brown needs to retire, but hopefully for this game will be prepared. Texas secondary makes several great plays and takeaways and Texas flips this one to their side 33 – 21

  2. raysfan1 says: Dec 5, 2012 2:24 PM

    On the one hand, I agree with your pick. On the other hand, I disagree with some of your reasoning.Texas will play with emotion because the Alamo Dome will be a sea of burnt orange. Oregon State will pull out a close game because they are the better team.

  3. thefiesty1 says: Dec 5, 2012 3:14 PM

    Maybe Texas defense will figure out how to tackle and actually cover receivers during the break before this game. The Texas offensive line may also start blocking again for the great RB’s that Brown always recruits and then not use them appropriately. It should be a good game though. Texas 33-31.

  4. seabronco says: Dec 5, 2012 10:40 PM

    Go Beavers!!!!

  5. efftheducks says: Dec 6, 2012 10:24 PM

    As long as Mannion doesn’t throw more than one pick (assuming he is the starter), Beavs should win this game. Woods gets fired up for his homecoming and puts up big yards. Of course, this is all in my head. Beavers are the better team but Texas comes in with the advantage of being the “visiting” team. Tired of typing. Go Beavers!

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