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Predictions 101 — Armed Forces Bowl

Troy Calhoun AP

Rice vs. Air Force
Sat., Dec. 29 – 11:45 a.m. ET, ESPN
Fort Worth, Texas – Amon G. Carter Stadium

It’s true. Rice once played in the Cotton and Sugar Bowls – a half-century ago.

Now on to current events. With a kickoff time better suited for brunch, the Owls (6-6) take on the Air Force Falcons (6-6).

Bowl games don’t come as easily for Rice these days. This one certainly didn’t. Rice needed victories in five of its last six games to become bowl eligible. Rice is the nation’s 29th-best rushing team and three players have accumulated 500-yard seasons.

That sounds pretty good.

Until you examine the statistics of Air Force, the nation’s second-best rushing team (328.8 yards per game). The Falcons defeated Hawaii 21-7 … and didn’t even attempt a pass. Not one.

Air Force coach Troy Calhoun needs a victory for his sixth consecutive winning season, a nice accomplishment at a military academy.

Opening point spread: Rice by 1

The pick: Air Force 28, Rice 14

Click HERE to get predictions for the remaining bowl games.

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3 Responses to “Predictions 101 — Armed Forces Bowl”
  1. clearanceclarence says: Dec 5, 2012 3:12 PM

    AirForce’s turnover differential for the year is -13, Rice needs to focus on taking advantage of that.

    A deeper look at the stats behind the matchup:

    http://statmilk.com/NCAAF/MatchUp/721/574

  2. thefiesty1 says: Dec 5, 2012 3:15 PM

    Both teams are 6-6. They both should have declined the invitation.

  3. mooser80 says: Dec 5, 2012 4:55 PM

    Good idea. Then a 5-7 team gets the bid.

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