As uncertain as that picture may be at the moment, that is.
Though Boise State is slated to join the Big East next year, there have been plenty of flirtatious reports — followed by plenty of brake-slamming — suggesting the Broncos are not so keen on moving from the Mountain West, especially now that the Big East is considered on the same level as the MWC as far as playoff access is concerned.
Once again, a report of Boise’s supposed trepidation has surfaced from Sports Illustrated‘s Pete Thamel. Citing three sources, Thamel says Boise’s departure from the Big East — without ever playing a down in the conference — is “inevitable.”
“I would be shocked if it didn’t happen,” a source told Thamel.
The news came just before a Dennis Dodd report that Colorado State and New Mexico State of the MWC are considering forming a new conference that would have Boise State and/or BYU as its cornerstone. The interest is reportedly “preliminary but informal.”
Earlier this week, Dodd reported that the Big East had reached out to Fresno State and UNLV of the MWC about possible membership. It’s not clear whether the two separate reports are related to each other in any way.
But it would appear that Boise State is a hot commodity in the soon-to-be “Group of Five,” composed of the Big East, Conference USA, the MAC, the MWC and the Sun Belt. The MWC is, to no one’s surprise, reportedly interested in keeping the Broncos as well. Boise State has become such a strong national brand in football with seven straight seasons of at least 10 wins that conferences lacking a contractual tie-in to an access bowl in college football’s new postseason feel the addition of the Broncos gives them a leg up in overall perception.
The five smaller conferences will be fighting for a single spot in one of the six access bowls after the 2014 season. It would seem that at least a couple of those leagues feel Boise State gives them the best chance to earn that spot; I wouldn’t put it past the others to feel the same way. It’s a dangerous assumption, of course. What if Chris Petersen leaves and/or Boise Statefootball goes in the tank? It’s possible, but the fact is that the Broncos have options.
So what would — should — Boise State do? Follow the money, obviously. Which situation gives BSU the most television revenue and the best chance to finish highest in the rankings year in and year out?
It may be that the “ideal situation” for Boise State has not yet been formed, either.