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BCS Rankings: The road ahead

ALABAMA BCS CELEBRATION AP

The release of the BCS rankings wouldn’t be complete without getting ahead of ourselves a bit. Here are seven scenarios that could result from what happens in the next month.

Scenario 1 — Alabama and Oregon win out

This may be the most boring possibility, but it could also result in the most intriguing matchup. A high-powered Pac-12 offense vs. a steel-curtain-like SEC defense? ¬†Fantastic. ¬†We may finally get to see which approach wins out.The irony is that Oregon’s defense and Alabama’s offense are better than people think. Plus, there may be a Heisman Trophy finalist or two.

Matchup grade: A+

Scenario 2 — Oregon loses a game, setting up an Alabama-Florida State showdown

The Seminoles would make their first trip to the BCS title game since 2000 and set up only the second meeting between the two programs in the last 40 years. Florida State might be one of the few teams that can match up across the board with the Tide when it comes to pure talent.

Matchup grade: A

Scenario 3 — Alabama loses to LSU, while Oregon and FSU win out

Two of the top offensive teams in the country would face off and maybe the two top finishers in the Heisman Trophy race, too. Could Jameis Winston become the first freshman quarterback since Jamelle Holieway to lead his team to the national title?

Matchup grade: A

Scenario 4 — Ohio State wins out and plays either Oregon, Florida State or Alabama.

Not many people outside of Ohio and Alabama want to see those two teams meet, as yet another Midwest sacrificial lamb would be led to the SEC slaughterhouse. Urban Meyer has done amazing things in Columbus, but his program isn’t quite ready to play at that level (though it soon will be). An Ohio State-Oregon matchup might be more intriguing, as the two spread schools would probably create an exciting show. The Buckeyes and Seminoles would be interesting on paper, but could lead to another lopsided margin.

Matchup grade: B-

Scenario 5 — Miami wins out and plays Alabama or Oregon.

The Cinderella Hurricanes would likely suffer the same fate that Notre Dame did last year.

Matchup grade: C

Scenario 6 — Alabama, FSU, Ohio State and Miami lose a game. Baylor and Oregon win out.

The two top offenses in the country, maybe of all time, playing in the same game? The scoreboard might break.

Matchup grade: A+

Scenario 7 — Alabama and Stanford win out, while FSU, Ohio State, Miami and Baylor lose.

This would be the opposite matchup of Oregon-Baylor, as two of the most physical teams in the country on both sides of the ball would go toe-to-toe. Those interested in ‘big boy football’ would be in heaven. Those interested in seeing points scored would probably fall asleep by halftime.

Matchup grade: B+

 

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37 Responses to “BCS Rankings: The road ahead”
  1. shaynesm says: Oct 27, 2013 10:00 PM

    Oregon VS Alabama= 2nd half victory for Oregon!

  2. cometkazie says: Oct 27, 2013 10:06 PM

    Big Boy Football!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  3. 8to80texansblog says: Oct 27, 2013 10:13 PM

    Scenario 8…. Everyone loses twice and A&M reenters the conversation….

    Ok maybe that’s like Scenario 154… but it should be up there….

  4. imaduffer says: Oct 27, 2013 10:42 PM

    The bigger question is, if Miami of Ohio played Georgia St. who would lose?

  5. 13datsyuk13 says: Oct 27, 2013 10:58 PM

    Oregon Baylor in some bowl game

  6. beastmode5150 says: Oct 27, 2013 11:03 PM

    Screw Nike U.

  7. thekingdave says: Oct 27, 2013 11:39 PM

    Steel curtain like SEC defense? How much did A&M drop on that “rock solid” defense? A&M and Mizzou have dispelled the myth. Next.

  8. thegeneral7694 says: Oct 27, 2013 11:56 PM

    @kingdave

    Yeah, that rock solid defense is giving up an average of 9.8 points per game….that would be the best in the nation, and that’s WITH the 42 they gave up to A&M. They haven’t played Missouri this year, so I have no idea what you’re talking about there. Has it occurred to you that maybe, just maybe, Manziel really is that good?

    No myths being dispelled there….

  9. canetic says: Oct 28, 2013 12:16 AM

    Alabama has played one decent team all year and gave up 42 points. I wouldn’t count too much on that defense saving them against Oregon or FSU or Baylor.

  10. suprmous says: Oct 28, 2013 12:32 AM

    canetic, stranger things have been known to happen: Bama hasn’t played LSU yet.

  11. halbert53 says: Oct 28, 2013 1:08 AM

    What is being overlooked is that if one-loss Auburn wins out, defeating Alabama and then perhaps Missouri in the SEC championship game, it might wind up in the national championship game. Bama has to get by LSU, Auburn and SEC champion. Oregon has to get by Stanford. FSU has to get by Miami, Baylor has some tough games left. OSU may well wind up undefeated with its cupcake schedule. I think a 1-loss Oregon, Stanford, Baylor, FSU, Alabama or Auburn would all be more deserving if a national championship game than an undefeated OSU. What I don’t like is that some conferences have a championship game and others don’t.

  12. floodoobious says: Oct 28, 2013 7:43 AM

    he means the myth that the sec is sooo much better than everyone else has been disspelled. A&M and Mizz have exposed the sec by the fact that 2 mid to low tier big12 teams can come to the sec and immediatly become 2 top tier sec programs. sec fans are funny, trying to claim each others national championshipsas their own just cause they play in the same conference. we get it… football was invented 7 yrs ago by nicky satan. it’s like they’re all high and suffering some memory loss. or maybe just pre-teens

  13. thegeneral7694 says: Oct 28, 2013 8:05 AM

    A&M and Mizzou certainly were not low tier Big 12 teams (we ain’t talking Kansas here) and ….(deep breath)…..THIS A&M NEVER PLAYED A DOWN IN THE BIG 12! A convenient fact to overlook, I realize, but if the SEC had inherited the Mike Sherman/Jerrod Johnson A&M instead of the Kevin Sumlin/Johnny Manziel A&M, we’d be having a different conversation. It’s not like the Big 12 was routinely shutting down Sumlin/Manziel, because the Big 12 never had to deal with them. And in terms of conference or even division championships, neither A&M nor Mizzou have won a d@mn thing in the SEC….at least not yet. We’ll see if they ever do.

  14. floodoobious says: Oct 28, 2013 8:17 AM

    u mentioned 1 new player on A&M and a coach. are these not all shermans recruits, including manziel. all caps dont make it right

  15. dcole001 says: Oct 28, 2013 10:14 AM

    As a Bama Fan Playing Ohio St would be the easiest matchup. But I am ready to See how Oregon would match up against a Nick Saban Defense with 6 Weeks to prepare. There is no question that it would be a great chess match, but really think Bama’s Depth would be the deciding factor, not to mention the Experence factor as well. Most of the Players on the team have played in at least 2 nation championship and Oregon has a 1st year head coach.. Think about that….

  16. dcole001 says: Oct 28, 2013 10:17 AM

    Also as a follow up statement. As a Bama Fan don’t want to play Florida St because half of the Defense Staff are ex Bama Staff which means they would know the players weakness. Not to mention the Lines match up better with Bama’s.

  17. ebrownwareagle says: Oct 28, 2013 10:43 AM

    @halbert53

    WELL SAID!!

  18. thekingdave says: Oct 28, 2013 2:21 PM

    SEC defenses = product of shitty offenses

    You can nitpick about A&M being vastly different than the Big 12 version, but almost all impact players from last years team were recruited by Sherman (including Manziel.) Sumlin was co-OC at OU under Stoops before accepting the UH job. There Dana Holgorsen coached for him before leaving for OK St them WVU. Same with Kliff Kingsbury. Both those guys have roots from Mike Leach at TTU. A&M is running a Big 12 spread. Deal with it.

  19. dannygjay says: Oct 28, 2013 2:39 PM

    @canetic & flood.
    an A&M team that has lost three games (and beat your ass in a bowl game last year) and a Missouri that beat injured to useless Sec teams does not constitute dominating a conference

  20. chachooga says: Oct 28, 2013 5:32 PM

    As an ACC guy through and through I will say Scenario 6 did actually make me smile thought it leaves my teams out of it.

  21. thegeneral7694 says: Oct 28, 2013 5:58 PM

    @kingdave:

    Who gives a s**t who these A&M players were recruited by? What difference does that make? Sherman could recruit, sure, but he couldn’t game-day coach his way out of a moist paper sack. THAT’S the point…Sumlin can recruit AND coach….Sherman could not. Yeah, I mentioned one Heisman winning incredible player, who I think we can safely say is a liiiiiitle bit of an upgrade over Jerrod Johnson. And if you think a coaching change doesn’t matter to a team’s success, let me refer you to Saban, Nick circa 2007. My only point is that the Big 12 never, ever had to deal with the Sumlin/Manziel A&M combo, and that is an indisputable fact. If you think Sumlin and Manziel have had no improving effect on A&M, then….well, I don’t know what to tell you. I think most of intelligent America would tell you you’re crazy.

  22. thekingdave says: Oct 28, 2013 6:10 PM

    @thegeneral

    My apologies, you are 100% right. A&M transformed from a middle of the pack Big 12 also ran into an SEC prolific offense that could hang 40 on a weekly basis against “steel curtain” like defenses in one offseason due solely to the addition of Kevin Sumlin and Johnny Manziel. Please. And wow, what an ass whooping LSU gave TCU opening week. The same TCU which lost to a rookie head coach in Kingsbury and was beat down by Texas in Fort Worth on Saturday. Please. The SEC may be top heavy with Alabama, but the drop after that is steeper than a cliff. Sorry to burst your bubble.

  23. corys32 says: Oct 28, 2013 8:30 PM

    With all the hype over the Alabama vs Oregon game, a lot of nerves and pride are riding on this game. Yes, Oregon is an amazing team that has proven their superiority this year, but I believe that Alabama will get the win. Looking forward to watching this game, and know everyone else is as well. What do y’all think? Go bama!

  24. shaynesm says: Oct 28, 2013 8:40 PM

    @corys32. You are entitled to your opinion, the Ducks will take that game! Bama will not be able to hold up that pace for all 4 quarters of the game, they are not used to playing a strong, dominate team for 4 quarters long, because I’m sure the Ducks will stay strong all game long for Bama. Go Ducks!

  25. corys32 says: Oct 28, 2013 8:45 PM

    @shaynesm
    Have you not watched the previous duck games? They are getting a little sloppier and worse every game. Oregon isn’t used to having their first string in all 4 quarters, but they are having to recently. They don’t have the endurance. They will tire out quickly.

  26. shaynesm says: Oct 28, 2013 8:47 PM

    @Corys32 Hide and watch!!! Lol

  27. effjohntaylornorelation says: Oct 28, 2013 9:10 PM

    This is one of the poorest examples and most ridiculous articles ever published here. Stoooo-pid.

  28. mrlitl says: Oct 28, 2013 11:09 PM

    @imaduffer

    I’m a Georgia State alum. Don’t diss us. (We do suck tho.)

  29. thegeneral7694 says: Oct 28, 2013 11:38 PM

    @kingdave:

    Well, technically in two offseasons, since they didn’t hang 40 on any elite defense last year but….yeah, that’s exactly what I’m saying. As much as I detest the entitled little brat, Manziel really is that good. That’s why he won some trophy last year…kind of a big one, as I recall, maybe even one that no freshman had ever won in the history of college football. A great gameday coach and a transcendent quarterback really do make that much difference in the 21st century game…you can doubt it if you want, doesn’t matter to me if you want to believe that grass is purple and our first President was Aaron Burr…you’d be totally wrong, but hey, this is America…you’re free to be a$$-backwards if you want to be.

  30. 8to80texansblog says: Oct 28, 2013 11:56 PM

    @kingdave

    You’re not giving any credit to the fact that Sumlin and Manziel might actually just be “that good”.

    The Aggies don’t run a Big 12 spread… what they run is much closer to Oregon’s offense. It’s not the spread that kills teams anymore, it’s the pace.

    Plus there a only a few QBs that can do what Johnny Football can do… hate him all you want, the kid can ball.

    Let’s put it this way, in the Aggies last year in the Big 12, they lost to the Sooners 41-25, their first year in the SEC they crushed OU 41-13. Did OU just suddenly get terrible? They were Co-Big 12 champs last year…

    Don’t discount the power of good coaching. Alabama went from 6-7 to 12-2 in two years with Saban…

  31. suprmous says: Oct 29, 2013 1:36 AM

    To all of you pinheaded naysayers who have a distaste for LSU allow me to remind you that just because you have your: arrogance, bias, distaste, flipant attitude, etc. doesn’t dimish the fact that they’ve been a contender for years as one of the stronger programs within the ranks of College Football. Maybe their schedule hasn’t been the best. their coachin has been lack luster (in your opinion), you feel that you just can’t stomach a winner comin from the likes of our part of the Country if it isn’t Bama or Ga let alone Fl /or Fl State, etc. but by Gawd we’ve been known to have a few championships in our day. Tho I have ties to Bama with who I do they’re important to me but so is LSU. I’d like to think I’m human enuff to show I can support my teams and still find it within my heart to support other teams when my teams aren’t playin and the other team’s players who stand out. You guys who’re so biased and can’t see past the noses on your face are missin out on some good football with your attitudes and why I don’t have a clue but I really feel sorry for you if you’re truly a fan.

  32. thekingdave says: Oct 29, 2013 2:08 AM

    @8to80

    You sound almost as misinformed about the Aggies as you do about the Texans, which is saying something given how prideful you “red asses” or whatever the hell you call yourselves are. I had to consult with my Aggie buddy and he wanted to sarcastically thank you for reinforcing the stereotype that Aggies are stupid with that Oregon comparison. Seriously, where the hell did you pull that from? You have all these correlations with the the Run and Shoot and Air Raid Offense plus all the Big 12 connections, and you pull out a Pac 12 run based attack which hits the line of scrimmage fast as a comparison. What a joke. And why don’t you give Sumlin at least 3 years and see how he does without Kingbury and without Sherman’s recruits? The chinks in the “armor” are already showing this year with that putrid defense. Paging Damontre Moore. Damontre Moore.

  33. patall24 says: Oct 29, 2013 9:23 PM

    Some people litterally have nothing better to do than point out Bamas one bad game at the beggining of this season and how A&M threw up 42 or how the sec is so weak right now. Is that what youl get off to in college football? I feel sorry for you all! We’ll Roll Tide! And to the Oregon fanatics, yeah I remember what happened to youl last year when youl played the only team on your schedule with a defense.

  34. amosalanzostagg says: Oct 29, 2013 11:02 PM

    KingDave,

    I don’t have a dog in this hunt, the biggest difference
    in a Sherman led A&M team and Sumlin was the conditioning Sumlin initiated once he took over the A&M program. A&M in it’s last year in the Big 12 had big leads in 5 games at half and lost every one.

    Sumlin merely took the talent that he inherited and maximized what he could do with it. It helps when you have a Manziel on your roster.

    From what I see recruiting wise, Sumlin may get more than his share of prime recruits. When you play as many red shirt freshmen and true freshmen,
    you are going to have a huge drop off in continuity
    and chemistry. A&M and Mississippi will join
    Auburn and LSU as teams we’re going to have to step up our game for.

    RTR

  35. tidebarrister says: Oct 30, 2013 5:19 PM

    I’m an Alabama alum and while I’ll admit that our secondary isn’t as good this year as it’s been in previous years, I am nonetheless confident that if we face either Oregon or FSU in Pasadena, we’ll beat either team.

    The reason for that is simple . . . we have the best head football coach in the college game and EVERYBODY knows it. No matter how you feel about Nick Saban, you have to give him his due when you look at what he’s achieved.

    I remember how terrible Alabama was in the years before he arrived, but look at us now. He turned around Alabama’s football program and made it the envy of college football. Same for LSU, as Saban laid much of the foundation for LSU’s and Les Miles’s success.

    Saban is the first head coach in NCAA Division I history to win national championships at two universities. Under Saban’s leadership, Alabama is only the 3rd team in Division I history to win 3 national championships in football in 4 years (Notre Dame and Nebraska are the other two) and the only one to do it in the BCS era.

    Plus there’s a roughly 6-week gap between the conference championship games and the national championship game. That’s 6 weeks for Coach Saban to plan, scheme, etc. for whomever Alabama plays. If you doubt how much of an edge that gives the defense, ask any football coach at any level and they’ll tell you that it gives a HUGE advantage to the defense.

    Look how much that edge helped Florida a few years ago against a supposedly unstoppable Oklahoma offense. OU was averaging roughly 50 points a game and had broken the 60 point mark in 4 or 5 games that season. Against Florida, OU committed at least 2 turnovers as I recall and scored a grand total of 14 points – – 36 below its season average.

    Also, look at Oregon against Auburn. Oregon averaged roughly 50 points a game that season as well, but against Auburn they got a grand total of 19 – – 31 points below their season average.

    Oregon or FSU might “run all over” Alabama in a regular season game when the coaching staffs don’t have as much time to prepare, but give Coach Saban 6 weeks to prepare and it’s very difficult to beat Alabama.

    Roll Tide Roll!

    PS Plus no true freshman is going to beat a Nick Saban coached team. I guarantee if Alabama makes it to Pasadena and plays FSU, Jameis Winston will look like the freshman he is. Talent is one thing, but experience is another!

  36. dkhhuey says: Nov 1, 2013 2:33 PM

    I love the same old dried up comments about OSU getting blow up in big games! Yep, I remember 2002 – we had no business in the NC and will get crushed by the U… didn’t happen. Yes, we were favored to beat Florida but got crushed, then got beat by LSU the following year. Having said that – we were suppose to get blown out by Oregon… didn’t happen and we came out with a win. Were suppose to be blown out by Arkansas… oops, didn’t happen and OSU came out with the win!

    I’m not sure if we’re ready to take on Bama right now but our defense is getting stronger and our offense was already strong and increasing to scary levels… by the end of the year, we should know whether we’re NC ready so I wouldn’t count out the Buckeyes or brush them aside as a pushover! Urban is amassing a very large cache of highly skilled players and if not this year, next year they will be ready!!!

  37. 8to80texansblog says: Nov 1, 2013 6:09 PM

    @kingdave

    You are right. The Aggies run an Air Raid offense. They run the ball more than your typical Big 12 spread though. Only 2 teams in the Big 12 run more than A&M. I guess the point I was trying to make there was that the pace is the differentiator now… not the spread.

    You also say that our defensive troubles this year are the product of Sumlin not being able to recruit but fail to acknowledge that all of Sumlin’s recruits would be at best red shirt freshman this year and not exactly contributing. Sumlin has been killing on the recruiting trail grabbing RSJ, #1 QB Kyle Allen, Hoza Scott. He has the Aggies sitting at #5 in recruiting right now.

    You also seem to give all of the offensive credit to Kingsbury, yet the Aggies are scoring more and gaining more yards this year…. probably a product of their terrible defense, but you still have to give Sumlin and Spavital credit. The offense is still humming and better than last year.

    Plus you named ONE guy on defense we lost… it’s great that Damonster has that kind of name recognition but what about Spencer Nealy and Jonathan Mathis? Nealy was a beast at DT, and now with Kirby Ennis going down, we are playing a true freshman there and just getting manhandled in the middle. Youth is killing this defense right now.

    Lastly, you devalue the SEC because you assert that a middle of the road Big 12 team went to the SEC and essentially dominated the league offensively…. yet they were only the #5 team in the conference. What does that say when the middle of the road SEC team crushes the Big 12 Co-Champ….?

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