'Bowl Projections' — Herd on hold

Leave a comment

With one more week remaining in college football’s regular season, here are CFT’s 2009-10 bowl projections.

Click HERE for a “who’s who” of bowl eligibility.

Right now it looks like Louisiana-Lafayette, Louisiana-Monroe and UCLA will be the 6-6 teams left out in the cold … unless Notre Dame decides not to go bowling.

Mark Snyder-less Marshall is good ol’ No. 68, otherwise known as “bowl team in waiting.”

Bowl Championship Series Title Game

January 7 — Pasadena, Calif.

BCS No. 1 vs. BCS No. 2

Projection: Alabama vs. Texas

BCS — Orange Bowl

January 5 — Miami Gardens, Fla.

BCS vs. BCS (ACC champion if available)

Projection: Georgia Tech vs. TCU

BCS — Fiesta Bowl

January 4 — Glendale, Ariz.

BCS vs. BCS (Big 12 champion if available)

Projection: Boise State vs. Penn State

BCS — Sugar Bowl

January 1 — New Orleans

BCS vs. BCS (SEC champion if available)

Projection: Florida vs. Cincinnati

BCS — Rose Bowl

January 1 — Pasadena, Calif.

BCS (Big Ten champion if available) vs. BCS (Pac 10 champion if available)

Projection: Ohio State vs. Oregon

GMAC Bowl

January 6 — Mobile, Ala.

ACC No. 9 vs. MAC No. 2

Projection: Middle Tennessee* vs. Ohio

(* no eligible ACC team available)

Alamo Bowl

January 2 — San Antonio

Big Ten No. 4-5 vs. Big 12 No. 4-5

Projection: Michigan State vs. Texas Tech

Papajohns.com Bowl

January 2 — Birmingham, Ala.

Big East No. 5 (or Sun Belt if none eligible) vs. SEC No. 9

Projection: South Florida vs. Kentucky

Cotton Bowl

January 2 — Arlington, Texas

Big 12 No. 2 vs. SEC No. 3-4

Projection: Oklahoma State vs. Tennessee (an “Orange Bowl” of sorts)

International Bowl

January 2 — Toronto

Big East No. 4 vs. MAC No. 3

Projection: Rutgers vs. Temple (Owls seek revenge for getting booted from Big East)

Liberty Bowl

January 2 — Memphis, Tenn.

C-USA No. 1 vs. SEC No. 6-7

Projection: Houston vs. Arkansas

Gator Bowl

January 1 — Jacksonville, Fla.

ACC No. 3 vs. Big East No. 2, Big 12 No. 4, or Notre Dame

Projection: Miami (Fla.) vs. West Virginia

Capital One Bowl

January 1 — Orlando, Fla.

Big Ten No. 2 vs. SEC No. 2

Projection: Iowa vs. LSU

Outback Bowl

January 1 — Tampa, Fla.

Big Ten No. 3 vs. SEC No. 3-4

Projection: Wisconsin vs. Mississippi

Chick-fil-A Bowl

December 31 — Atlanta

ACC No. 2 vs. SEC No. 5

Projection: Virginia Tech vs. Georgia

Insight Bowl

December 31 — Tempe, Ariz.

Big Ten No. 6 vs. Big 12 No. 6

Projection: Minnesota vs. Missouri

Sun Bowl

December 31 — El Paso, Texas

Pac 10 No. 3 vs. Big East No. 2, Big 12 No. 5 or Notre Dame

Projection: California vs. Oklahoma

Armed Forces Bowl

December 31 — Fort Worth, Texas

Mountain West No. 3-4 vs. C-USA No. 3

Projection: Air Force vs. East Carolina

Texas Bowl

December 30 — Houston

Big 12 No. 8
vs. C-USA No. 7 or Navy

< p>Projection: Iowa State vs. Navy (accepted bid)

Humanitarian Bowl

December 30 — Boise, Idaho

Mountain West No. 5 vs. WAC

Projection: Bowling Green* vs. Idaho

(* no eligible MWC team available)

Holiday Bowl

December 30 — San Diego

Big 12 No. 3 vs. Pac 10 No. 2

Projection: Nebraska vs. USC

EagleBank Bowl

December 30 — Washington D.C.

ACC No. 8 or MAC No. 4 vs. C-USA No. 6 or Army

Projection: Northern Illinois vs. Marshall (or Army if it defeats Navy on Dec. 12)

Champs Sports Bowl

December 29 — Orlando, Fla.

ACC No. 4 vs. Big Ten No. 4-5

Projection: Clemson vs. Northwestern

Independence Bowl

December 28 — Shreveport, La.

Big 12 No. 7 vs. SEC No. 8 (or Sun Belt if none eligible)

Projection: Texas A&M vs. Auburn

Music City Bowl

December 27 — Nashville, Tenn.

ACC No. 5 vs. SEC No. 6-7

Projection: North Carolina vs. South Carolina (“Carolina Bowl” should be an annual thing)

Little Caesars Pizza Bowl

December 26 — Detroit

Big Ten No. 7 vs. MAC No. 1

Projection: Notre Dame* (if Irish decide they need 15 extra practices) vs. Central Michigan

(* no eligible Big Ten team available)

Meineke Car Care Bowl

December 26 — Charlotte, N.C.

ACC No. 6 vs. Big East No. 3

Projection: Florida State vs. Pittsburgh

Emerald Bowl

December 26 — San Francisco

ACC No. 7 vs. Pac 10 No. 4-5

Projection: Boston College vs. Stanford

Hawai’i Bowl

December 24 — Honolulu

C-USA No. 2 vs. WAC

Projection: SMU vs. Nevada

Poinsettia Bowl

December 23 — San Diego

Mountain West No. 2 vs. Pac 10 No. 6 (or WAC if none eligible)

Projection: Brigham Young vs. Arizona

MAACO Bowl

December 22 — Las Vegas

Mountain West No. 1 vs. Pac 10 No. 4-5

Projection: Utah vs. Oregon State (BYU can’t play in Vegas for fifth consecutive year)

New Orleans Bowl

December 20 — New Orleans

C-USA No. 4 vs. Sun Belt champion

Projection: Southern Miss vs. Troy (accepted bid)

St. Petersburg Bowl

December 19 — St. Petersburg, Fla.

Big East No. 6 (or Sun Belt if none eligible) vs. C-USA No. 5

Projection: Connecticut  vs. Central Florida

New Mexico Bowl

December 19 — Albuquerque

Mountain West No. 3-4 vs. WAC

Projection: Wyoming vs. Fresno State

Report: CMU RB Berkley Edwards, brother of Braylon, heading to Michigan

Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images
Leave a comment

Berkley Edwards, the younger brother of former Michigan standout Braylon Edwards, is apparently following in his brother’s footsteps. According to a report from The Michigan Insider, Berkley Edwards is planning on transferring from Central Michigan to walk on with the Wolverines.

Edwards will be using a sixth year of eligibility granted by the NCAA to play his final season for the same program his brother and father Stan Edwards once did.

Edwards began his college career at Minnesota in 2013. He spent one year as a redshirt and later sat out the 2016 season as a transfer to Central Michigan. Edwards was a part of the Central Michigan special teams unit last season and has previously handled rushing duties at Minnesota. At Michigan, Edwards will likely fill a spot on the depth chart at running back and special teams, although his role is expected to be as a reserve option for each as he gets started with the Wolverines.

Edwards will be eligible to play for Michigan this season. Michigan has not formally announced the addition of Edwards to the football program at this time.

Two Western Michigan players medically disqualified

Photo by Ron Jenkins/Getty Images
Leave a comment

Western Michigan running back Matt Falcon just can’t seem to catch a break, it seems. After injuring his knee last season, Falcon has been medically disqualified to play for the Broncos this fall, according to a Battle Creek Enquirer report. Western Michigan will also be without redshirt freshman defensive lineman Dezmond Lance, who has also been medically disqualified.

Falcon redshirted for Western Michigan in 2016 under former head coach and current Minnesota head coach P.J. Fleck. Falcon came to Minnesota after being offered a medical scholarship at Michigan after a second ACL injury in his senior year of high school. He injured the same knee during camp prior to the 2017 season and managed to make just one appearance for the MAC program. Falcon rushed for 37 yards on 10 rushing attempts.

Due to his injury history, Falcon was likely only to play a reserve role in the running game for Western Michigan this fall. Regardless, not being able to contribute this fall has to be disappointing for a player that was once rated as a four-star recruit in high school. In terms of his eligibility, the time to petition for a medical exemption for an extra year of eligibility could eventually be on the table for Falcon, although that does not need to be decided just yet.

Junior defensive back Brad Tanner has also been confirmed to have left the program.

Big Ten revenue distribution hits $51 million

AP Photo/Alex Brandon, File
1 Comment

The Big Ten continues to roll in gigantic piles of money. Details on the Big Ten revenue distribution for the past year were uncovered from a budget spreadsheet from the Michigan Board of Regents, in which it was revealed Michigan received a revenue distribution of $51 million from the Big Ten for the past fiscal year.

It is currently projected the Big Ten distributions will rise to $52 million for the next year, according to Detroit News reporter Angelique Chengelis (via Twitter).

That’s a nice payday for all parties involved and was to be expected given the recent changes to the Big Ten media partnerships. Last year, the Big Ten began making regular season games available to FOX in addition to its current partnership with ESPN and, of course, the Big Ten Network. That expansion of the media deal appears to have paid off for the Big Ten and should continue to fuel the revenue allotment for the next year as the deals with FOX and ESPN continue. The Big Ten’s revenue distribution the previous year was $36.3 million.

The Big Ten revenue distribution of $51.1 million eclipses the average $41 million distributions received by SEC members. It also continues to pace well ahead of the other power conferences; Big 12 members received $36.5 million, ACC members received between $25.3 million and $30.7 million, and Pac-12 schools received $30.9 million. For the sake of comparison, the American Athletic Conference recorded a total conference revenue of $74.47 million for the past year.

It’s good to be in a power conference. It’s even better to be in the Big Ten and the SEC, apparently.

UPDATE: As a reminder, Maryland and Rutgers will not receive a full revenue distribution until the 2020-2021 year. Nebraska was eligible for a full distribution for the first time as a Big Ten member, however.

Bowlsby suggests we may not actually be getting “more” bowls in 2020

AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez, File
3 Comments

The college football bowl schedule may see some new bowl games beginning with the 2020 season, but Big 12 commissioner Bob Bowlsby says that doesn’t necessarily mean there will be more bowl games on the schedule. In a podcast interview with the Associated Press, Bowlsby noted the bowl structure is being worked on in order to raise the standards for a bowl game to exist and reflected on how recent changes to the bowl system could impact the current or future bowl line-up.

“We want ti to be an open marketplace. We want the market to dictate how many bowl games there are,” Bowlsby said to AP college football writer and AP Top 25 College Football Podcast host Ralph Russo. “We think it will arrive at a place of equilibrium. I think it a local organizing committee of a bowl would be very poorly advised to go into a season with one side of their game or both sides of their game open, but there are some circumstances under which that could exist.

It was recently reported three new bowl games could be added to the 2020 bowl calendar, including potential bowl games in Chicago and Myrtle Beach. As Bowlsby explains, just because a bowl game or two (or three) could be added, that won’t necessarily mean the number of bowl games will increase. Some bowl games currently in existence could cease to operate in the future due to the NCAA’s modified bowl certification process.

Bowlsby stressed the changes being made to ensure a bowl game is able to operate without digging any holes for the bowl committee and local community. Bowlsby also emphasized the recent limits on how many bowl tie-ins a conference can lock down and how that may impact how a bowl game manages itself.

The ACC and SEC are limited to 10 bowl tie-ins, the Big Ten limited to eight, and Pac-12 gets seven and the Big 12 is restricted to six bowl tie-ins. Limits for the non-power conferences have also been established. On top of that, the Pac-12 recently made a conference rule that will prohibit 5-7 teams from participating in a postseason bowl game even if a school would be invited due to APR scores to fill any vacancies.

“We think we are going to be less likely to go into the 5-7 pool than we’ve been in the past.”

Basically, if you see a bowl game struggling to draw ratings and sell tickets, it could be in some danger.

You can listen to the full interview to hear Bowlsby discuss the bowl future as well as the new transfer rule HERE.