The top two spots in the final College Football Playoff playoff rankings of the regular season, No. 1 Alabama and No. 2 Oregon, remain steady at the top of the playoff selection committee;s weekly rankings, but the committee continues to punish Florida State for winning close games. The 12-0 Seminoles slipped one more spot this week, dropping from three to four. TCU took advantage of that and Mississippi State falling out of the top four to take over the third spot in the ranking this week after finishing strong against Texas on Thanksgiving.
The Top Four
4. Florida State
Take a good look at this, because if the chalk holds this week this may be your playoff field. If this does hold, then Alabama and Florida State would square off in the Sugar Bowl and Oregon and TCU would meet in the Rose Bowl.
5. Ohio State
Baylor still owns a head-to-head victory over TCU, but the committee does not seem to care much about that at this point. TCU not only stayed ahead of Baylor, but they padded their distance ahead of their Big 12 rivals. Maybe this changes this week if Baylor defeats Kansas State, with the Wildcats also ranked in the top 10 this week.
Ohio State is now next-in-line as the Buckeyes head to the Big Ten championship game this week against Wisconsin. Ohio State remains in a good spot this week but must overcome the loss of quarterback J.T. Barrett. If the Buckeyes defeat Wisconsin, then it is possible Ohio State still cracks the final four even if the chalk holds, but it is looking difficult for Baylor and Ohio State to catch up to or pass TCU. But Florida State continues to slip. Could Ohio State manage to pass an undefeated Florida State team with an ACC title? Keep in mind Florida State would be undefeated against the ACC this year, while Ohio State would be 0-1.
Full College Football Playoff Ranking
Quick Observations and Thoughts
Boise State remains the team to beat among the Group of Five access bowl contenders. The No. 22 Broncos still have to win the Mountain West Conference championship this week, at home against Fresno State. A win and the Broncos will play in one of the New Years Six bowls. Lose though and the door is opened for Memphis, or perhaps even Marshall.
Take note of Michigan State at No. 8. Where the Spartans currently rank suggests they will be chosen to play in the Orange Bowl. They certainly are not likely to fall in the rankings, although it is a possibility.
USC and LSU are back in the rankings, but Minnesota dropped out. Minnesota had been a quality win for TCU (and Ohio State).
Missouri at No. 16 looks like even an SEC championship might not be enough to get the Tigers into the playoff field. Arizona on the other hand, at No. 7 looks to be in great position to make a case if the Wildcats upset Oregon in the Pac-12 championship game.