WHO: No. 6 TCU vs. No. 9 Ole Miss
WHAT: The 47th Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
WHERE: The Georgia Dome in Atlanta, Ga.
WHEN: 12:30 p.m. ET on ESPN
THE SKINNY: The first Peach Bowl to step outside the traditional ACC-SEC matchup since 1992 boils down to the quaintest of metrics: turnovers. Simply put, the team that creates the most turnovers will win the game. Or, more appropriately, the team that prevents the most turnovers will be victorious.
Both of these squads are flat out frightening to throw the ball against. Ole Miss allowed only eight touchdown passes in 365 attempts, and held a 10-to-1 interception-to-touchdown ratio through the first five games of the season. Their 19-to-8 INT-to-TD ratio is the best in college football this season, but the Rebels allowed four scoring strikes while intercepting only two passes in the month of November. On the other sideline, TCU ranked third in FBS in interceptions (23) and second in takeaways (36). (Ole Miss tied for 13th with 29 takeaways).
Where the two deviate is in their propensity to give the ball away. TCU ranked second in the country in turnover margin (36 takeaways against only 18 giveaways) while Ole Miss finished 29th. Bo Wallace has a tendency to turn the ball over in bunches (see: three picks against Boise State) or at the wrong time (see: the end of the LSU game).
The Rebels did find something in the season-ending Mississippi State win with the connection from Wallace to tight end Evan Engram and TCU is mediocre-to-bad in preventing big plays (61st in completions of 20-plus yards allowed, 113th in completions of 30-plus yards allowed).
The rankings may not say it, but TCU has every right to believe itself to be one of the three best teams in college football. The Frogs will come out hot and snare a pair of Wallace second-half interceptions to come away with the win.
THE PICK: TCU 31, Ole Miss 27