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Tua Tagovailoa solidifies status as Heisman wagering favorite

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This time last year, Tua Tagovailoa was a decided favorite to win the 2018 Heisman Trophy.  Fast-forward a dozen months, and after finishing runner-up to Oklahoma’s Kyler Murray in 2018, it’s lather, rinse and repeat.

According to one offshore sportsbook, the Alabama quarterback is now a 2/3 favorite to win the 2019 version of the most prestigious award in college football.  Those are actually shorter odds than the week before as Tagovailoa was sitting at 7/4 on Sept. 30.

LSU quarterback Joe Burrow saw his odds shorten as well, going from 4/1 to 3/1.  In this latest release, Burrow leapfrogged Oklahoma quarterback Jalen Hurts, whose odds lengthened a bit to 7/2 from 9/5 a week ago.

Four other players saw their odds lengthen as well:

  • Ohio State quarterback Justin Fields (12/1, from 5/1)
  • Wisconsin running back Jonathan Taylor (20/1, from 10/1)
  • Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence (33/1, from 22/1)
  • Texas quarterback Sam Ehlinger (40/1, from 33/1)

Just one player, Georgia quarterback Jake Fromm, saw his odds stay the same as the junior remained steady at 20/1.

As we alluded to in the lede, and exactly one year ago today, Tagovailoa was a 2/3 favorite to claim the Heisman (sound familiar?). Ohio State’s Dwayne Haskins was next at 9/2 followed by Murray at 7/1.  There’s also the below that we wrote at the time:

Tagovailoa’s current status as the front-runner should (maybe?) be taken with a grain of salt. Exactly one year ago today, Penn State running back Saquon Barkley was [the offshore sportsbook]‘s betting favorite; Barkley ended up not even being a finalist for the 2017 award won by [Baker] Mayfield

Trevor Lawrence, Tua Tagovailoa are BetOnline’s 2019 Heisman favorites

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The starting quarterbacks in the national championship game following the 2018 regular season were a true freshman and true sophomore.  Not surprisingly, both will head into the offseason as the favorites for the most iconic trophy in all of college sports.

In odds released Tuesday by BetOnline.ag, Clemson’s Trevor Lawrence is a 3/1 favorite to win the 2019 Heisman Trophy, while Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa is right behind at 4/1.  Interestingly, the player next up after those two is the man who Tagovailoa replaced as the Crimson Tide’s starter, Jalen Hurts, at 9/1.

Hurts’ name is in the transfer database as he will likely play his last season somewhere other than in Tuscaloosa, and the same sportsbook has Maryland as a 1/2 favorite to land the quarterback.  Other schools listed as potential landing spots for Hurts include Miami (4/1), TCU (5/1), Auburn (10/1) and Houston (10/1).

Another transfer quarterback, Justin Fields of Ohio State (formerly of Georgia), is at 12/1 to win next year’s Heisman, as is the quarterback who was ahead of him on the Bulldogs’ depth charts, Jake Fromm.  Others at the same number are Clemson running back Travis Etienne, Georgia running back D’Andre Swift and Wisconsin running back Jonathan Taylor.

Below are the complete odds to win the 2019 Heisman Trophy, again, courtesy of BetOnline.ag:

Trevor Lawrence 3/1
Tua Tagovailoa 4/1
Jalen Hurts 9/1
Travis Etienne 12/1
Justin Fields 12/1
Jake Fromm 12/1
D’Andre Swift 12/1
Jonathan Taylor 12/1
Ian Book 16/1
Sam Ehlinger 16/1
Justin Herbert 16/1
Jerry Jeudy 25/1
Austin Kendall 25/1
Shea Patterson 25/1
K.J. Costello 33/1
Adrian Martinez 33/1

Odds out for 2019 title, with newly-minted champ Clemson the way-too-early favorite

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Shortly after Alabama claimed the national championship for the 2017 season, the Crimson Tide was immediately installed as an 11/4 favorite for the 2018 title, with Clemson next up at 6/1.  Almost one year to the day later, the roles have been reversed.

Coming off a dominating woodshedding of Alabama Monday night, the SuperBook at the Westgate Las Vegas, via ESPN.com, has installed Clemson as a 9/5 favorite to win the 2019 College Football Playoff championship.  The Crimson Tide is the only other school in single digits as they will begin the offseason at 5/2.

The other two playoff qualifiers, Oklahoma and Notre Dame, are listed at 15-1 and 25-1, respectively.  A pair of teams that just missed out on this year’s playoffs, Georgia and Ohio State, are both at 12/1, while Michigan sits at 14/1.

Texas, which whipped an (ahem) “uninterested” Georgia in the Sugar Bowl, is at 20/1, while a trio of schools joins Notre Dame at 25/1: Florida, Nebraska and Washington.

The only other school with odds lower than 50/1 is Oregon, which comes in at 30/1.

Wagering opportunities abound for Alabama-Clemson title game

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If you’re the wagering type — and I’ll bet you I’m not — this post has your name written all over it even as it has my name in the byline.

Monday night, Alabama and Clemson will square off for the fourth straight year in the College Football Playoff — for CFT’s previews, click HERE, HERE, HERE and HERE — and, for the third time in that span, the matchup will determine college football’s national champion.  The Crimson Tide opened as anywhere from a six- to a seven-point favorite, although most sportsbooks now have the Tigers as a five-point underdog heading into the game at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara.

But the opportunities to wager aren’t solely limited to the point spread as BetOnline.ag has released myriad prop bets on which you can lay down some of your hard-earned money, from the over/under on the two teams’ first-half points to margin of victory to whether the game will go into overtime to whether backup Tide quarterback Jalen Hurts will throw a touchdown pass.

Below are all of the game lines and prop bets for the championship game, again courtesy of BetOnline.ag.

GAME LINES

Clemson vs Alabama
Clemson +5 (40% of public on Clemson)
Alabama -5 (60% of public on Alabama)
Over/Under 58½ (51% on the over, 49% on the under)

Clemson vs Alabama (First Half Only)
Clemson +3
Alabama -3
Over/Under 29

Total Points O/U – Clemson
Over/Under 26½

Total Points O/U – Clemson (First Half Only)
Over/Under 13

Total Points O/U – Alabama
Over/Under 31½

Total Points O/U – Alabama (First Half Only)
Over/Under 16

GAME/SCORING PROPS

Team to Score First
Clemson +120 (6/5)
Alabama -150 (2/3)

Time of First Score
Over 5½ Minutes EVEN (1/1)
Under 5½ Minutes -120 (5/6)

Will the Team That Scores First Win?
Yes -200 (1/2)
No +175 (7/4)

First Score of Game
Clemson Touchdown 2/1
Clemson Field Goal 6/1
Alabama Touchdown 5/4
Alabama Field Goal 6/1
Safety by Either Team 33/1

Race to 10 Points
Clemson +150 (3/2)
Alabama -170 (10/17)

Race to 20 Points
Clemson +175 (7/4)
Alabama -210 (10/21)

3 Straight Scores by Either Team
Yes -210 (10/21)
No +175 (7/4)

Longest TD of the Game
Over/Under 55 yards

Will there be a Defensive or Special TD in the Game?
Yes +160 (8/5)
No -180 (5/9)

Will the Game go to Overtime?
Yes +1200 (12/1)
No -2000 (1/20)

Last Team to Score
Clemson +120 (6/5)
Alabama -140 (5/7)

Double Result (First Half/Second Half)
Clemson – Clemson 3/1
Clemson – Alabama 6/1
Tied – Clemson 16/1
Tied – Alabama 12/1
Alabama – Clemson 8/1
Alabama – Alabama -110

Margin of Victory
Clemson by 1 to 6 Pts 4/1
Clemson by 7 to 12 Pts 7/1
Clemson by 13 to 18 Pts 16/1
Clemson by 19 to 24 Pts 28/1
Clemson by 25 to 30 Pts 50/1
Clemson by 31 to 36 Pts 80/1
Clemson by 37 to 42 Pts 100/1
Clemson by 43 Pts or More 125/1
Alabama by 1 to 6 Pts 13/4
Alabama by 7 to 12 Pts 7/2
Alabama by 13 to 18 Pts 6/1
Alabama by 19 to 24 Pts 8/1
Alabama by 25 to 30 Pts 16/1
Alabama by 31 to 36 Pts 25/1
Alabama by 37 to 42 Pts 40/1
Alabama by 43 Pts or More 66/1

PLAYER STAT PROPS

Player to Score the 1st Touchdown
Travis Etienne (CLEM) 5/1
Jerry Jeudy (BAMA) 7/1
Damien Harris (BAMA) 8/1
Tee Higgins (CLEM) 10/1
Henry Ruggs III (BAMA) 10/1
Irv Smith Jr. (BAMA) 12/1
Najee Harris (BAMA) 14/1
Joshua Jacobs (BAMA) 14/1
Devonta Smith (BAMA) 14/1
Tua Tagovailoa (BAMA) 14/1
Alabama D/ST 16/1
Amari Rodgers (CLEM) 16/1
Justyn Ross (CLEM) 16/1
Jaylen Waddle (BAMA) 16/1
Clemson D/ST 20/1
Jalen Hurts (BAMA) 20/1
Hunter Renfrow (CLEM) 20/1
Milan Richard (CLEM) 20/1
Adam Choice (CLEM) 25/1
Tavien Feaster (CLEM) 25/1
Trevor Lawrence (CLEM) 33/1
Diondre Overton (CLEM) 33/1
No Touchdown Scored 150/1

Quarterback Props

Total Passing Yards – Trevor Lawrence (Clemson)
Over/Under 264½

Total Completions – Trevor Lawrence (Clemson)
Over/Under 22½

Longest Completion – Trevor Lawrence (Clemson)
Over/Under 40½

Total TD Passes – Trevor Lawrence (Clemson)
No TD Passes 4/1
One TD Pass 7/2
Two TD Passes 5/2
Three TD Passes 9/2
Four TD Passes 7/1
Five or More TD Passes 10/1

Total Passing Yards – Tua Tagovailoa(Alabama)
Over/Under 299½

Total Completions – Tua Tagovailoa (Alabama)
Over/Under 22½

Longest Completion – Tua Tagovailoa (Alabama)
Over/Under 50½

Total TD Passes – Tua Tagovailoa (Alabama)
No TD Passes 7/1
One TD Pass 4/1
Two TD Passes 3/1
Three TD Passes 7/2
Four TD Passes 5/1
Five or More TD Passes 6/1

Will Jalen Hurts Attempt a Pass?
Yes -300 (1/3)
No +250 (5/2)

Will Jalen Hurts Have a Rushing Attempt?
Yes -300 (1/3)
No +250 (5/2)

Will Jalen Hurts Throw for a TD Pass?
Yes +400 (4/1)
No -500 (1/5)

Will Jalen Hurts Rush for a TD?
Yes +500 (5/1)
No -650 (2/13)

Receiving Props

Total Receiving Yards – Tee Higgins (Clemson)
Over/Under 55½

Total Receptions – Tee Higgins (Clemson)
Over/Under 4

Longest Reception – Tee Higgins (Clemson)
Over/Under 24½

Total Receiving Yards – Justyn Ross (Clemson)
Over/Under 69½

Total Receptions – Justyn Ross (Clemson)
Over/Under 4

Total Receiving Yards – Hunter Renfrow (Clemson)
Over/Under 47½

Total Receptions – Hunter Renfrow (Clemson)
Over/Under 4

Total Receiving Yards – Amari Rodgers (Clemson)
Over/Under 32½

Total Receptions – Amari Rodgers (Clemson)
Over/Under 4

Total Receiving Yards – Jerry Jeudy (Alabama)
Over/Under 76½

Total Receptions – Jerry Jeudy (Alabama)
Over/Under 5

Longest Reception – Jerry Jeudy (Alabama)
Over/Under 30½

Total Receiving Yards – Henry Ruggs III (Alabama)
Over/Under 49½

Total Receptions – Henry Ruggs III (Alabama)
Over/Under 3½

Total Receiving Yards – Jaylen Waddle (Alabama)
Over/Under 41½

Total Receptions – Jaylen Waddle (Alabama)
Over/Under 3

Total Receiving Yards – DeVonta Smith (Alabama)
Over/Under 49½

Total Receptions – DeVonta Smith (Alabama)
Over/Under 3½

Total Receiving Yards – Irv Smith Jr. (Alabama)
Over/Under 30½

Total Receptions – Irv Smith Jr. (Alabama)
Over/Under 2½

Rushing Props

Total Rushing Yards – Travis Etienne (Clemson)
Over/Under 86½

Longest Rush – Travis Etienne (Clemson)
Over/Under 24½

Total Rushing Yards – Damien Harris (Alabama)
Over/Under 49½

Longest Rush – Damien Harris (Alabama)
Over/Under 20½

Total Rushing Yards – Josh Jacobs (Alabama)
Over/Under 52½

Alabama favored over Clemson for College Football Playoff National Championship

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Alabama faces a line that is smaller than its lowest winning margin of the season in its latest January rematch with Clemson. The Crimson Tide, led by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, are five-point favorites on the college football odds against the Clemson Tigers with a 58.5-point total for Monday’s title game at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

The contest at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California is the fourth consecutive postseason meeting between the teams. In the Nick Saban era, Alabama is 5-1 straight-up and 3-2-1 against the spread as a favorite of 7.0 or fewer points in postseason games, with the 2016 Tigers accounting for that one outright defeat.

Clemson has gone 14-0 SU and 8-6 ATS against a schedule rated as less difficult than Alabama’s docket of defeated foes. Offensively, freshman quarterback Trevor Lawrence does not seem likely to be intimidated by the big stage, and the Tigers’ third-ranked offense stands a good chance of putting up some points against Alabama, which allowed 34 against the Oklahoma Sooners’ top-ranked attack in the Orange Bowl on December 29.

A bigger unknown is whether Clemson has a stout enough offensive line to negate nosetackle Quinnen Williams and the Crimson Tide’s interior push. The Tigers’ rushing game was a non-factor against Alabama in the 2017 playoff game, but leading rusher Travis Etienne is the type of edge runner that often poses difficulty for the Crimson Tide.

Alabama is also 14-0 SU and 8-6 ATS, with Tagovailoa serving as the linchpin of a No. 4-ranked offense that is also second only to Oklahoma in scoring. Clemson’s defense is also the fourth-best in the country statistically, and the Tigers, first in the country with 52 sacks, will likely rely on a four-man pass rush led by defensive tackle Christian Wilkins to slow down Alabama, since Tagovailoa is excellent when teams blitz with five or more defenders.

Thanks to myriad major touchdown threats such as wide receivers Jerry Jeudy, Henry Ruggs III and Devonta Smith, Alabama averages a nation-leading 11.3 yards per pass. Clemson allows 6.3 yards per pass, but did not face a team with a pro-style offense that ranked in the top 20 in the country in yards per throw.

The total has gone UNDER at online sports betting sites in seven of Alabama’s last 10 games when it was favored by 7.0 or fewer points. However, that sample spans eight seasons. The total has gone OVER in nine of Alabama’s last 14 games, with an average combined score of 63.93 points. Five of Clemson’s 14 games finished with 60 or more total points.

For more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes or Spotify or listen to it at OddsShark.libsyn.com.